NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1a808849d0d43e8c8cc36a5ed74604e0823aee4bd357b636b6520e2d7d2649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Lakers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,369,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,369,231 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 38c | 234,750$89,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,205.14 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Lakers | 0c | 206,236$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.24 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets | 61c | 200,000$121,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,499.86 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Nuggets | 62c | 134,274$83,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,024.19 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 40c | 124,610$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Lakers | 37c | 104,896$38,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,811.5 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Lakers | 39c | 80,329$31,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,328.38 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Lakers | 24c | 68,400$16,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,232.86 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 70c | 67,284$47,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,052.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 24c | 59,863$14,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,107.91 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Nuggets | 78c | 57,154$44,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,364.68 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 73c | 55,277$40,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,944.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Lakers | 4c | 52,614$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.99 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nuggets | 62c | 51,843$32,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,700.42 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 21c | 44,438$9,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,217.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 62c | 40,479$25,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,323.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 71c | 40,473$28,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,655.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nuggets | 74c | 37,891$28,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,752.8 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 35,092$21,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,031.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Nuggets | 62c | 35,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 62c | 31,397$19,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,042.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 63c | 29,999$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.73 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 74c | 28,048$20,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 21c | 25,246$5,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262.13 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 19c | 24,877$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.72 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lakers | 19c | 24,601$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.16 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…4c81backed Lakers | 21c | 24,034$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Lakers | 0c | 23,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 61c | 22,836$13,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 22,489$17,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.81 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 20,478$14,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,606.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 21c | 20,399$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.27 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 37c | 19,814$7,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,282.5 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Lakers | 40c | 19,408$7,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,763.2 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 1c | 19,134$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 25c | 18,373$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 25c | 17,143$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.48 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Lakers | 33c | 16,496$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.96 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Lakers | 36c | 16,400$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Nuggets | 64c | 16,400$10,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,903.93 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 63c | 16,279$10,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.23 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Nuggets | 63c | 16,260$10,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.2 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 39c | 14,610$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,692.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb13backed Nuggets | 61c | 14,396$8,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 32c | 13,821$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.77 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 74c | 13,189$9,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Nuggets | 62c | 13,047$8,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.5 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Nuggets | 64c | 12,999$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.82 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Lakers | 36c | 12,990$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Lakers | 35c | 12,485$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.59 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Lakers | 36c | 12,057$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 60c | 11,548$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.73 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 77c | 10,640$8,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.75 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 10,538$7,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Lakers | 14c | 10,525$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.84 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Lakers | 1c | 10,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 268 | 24.6%66 W · 202 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Nuggets | 77c | 10,071$7,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Lakers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Nuggets | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 20c | 10,000$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.55 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Nuggets | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Nuggets | 78c | 9,133$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.73 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Nuggets | 74c | 8,745$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.47 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Lakers | 23c | 8,569$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.69 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Nuggets | 73c | 8,254$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.99 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 16c | 8,200$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.14 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 7,181$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.48 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 60c | 6,662$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.69 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…6b4dbacked Lakers | 38c | 6,316$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nuggets | 77c | 6,190$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.84 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Lakers | 33c | 6,021$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lakers | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nuggets | 74c | 5,949$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.28 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Lakers | 17c | 5,877$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.06 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,453$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.95 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Lakers | 27c | 5,437$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.7 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 0c | 5,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Nuggets | 72c | 5,031$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.16 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers | 0c | 5,015$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nuggets | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Lakers | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 61c | 4,926$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.03 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 36c | 4,850$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 21c | 4,806$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.23 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…ee2cbacked Nuggets | 75c | 4,693$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.78 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 66c | 4,657$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.94 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 73c | 4,556$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.7 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lakers | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.92 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8b…95e3backed Lakers | 21c | 4,359$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Lakers | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…86afbacked Lakers | 17c | 4,174$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.49 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Nuggets | 64c | 4,110$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.6 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.