NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe617f48f745d14c2b49d470059c8c66cb38038a4ce7624983ef2a14ea8032fa3

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Lakers
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,060,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,060,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers	51c	441,636$223,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223,929.37	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Lakers	54c	102,296$55,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,180.25	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets	46c	100,000$46,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Nuggets	48c	80,000$38,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,599.97	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets	49c	67,470$33,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,458.5	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Lakers	51c	59,050$30,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,115.6	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers	52c	51,582$26,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,822.56	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers	54c	46,062$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets	49c	40,816$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,816.33	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd071…9047backed Nuggets	49c	31,663$15,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,148.21	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	53cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets	49c	31,465$15,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,046.97	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Nuggets	49c	25,000$12,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,750	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nuggets	52c	24,000$12,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,519.93	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Nuggets	49c	23,592$11,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,031.84	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Lakers	49c	21,778$10,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,671.1	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Nuggets	46c	21,750$10,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,744.99	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…b2d4backed Nuggets	49c	20,231$9,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,318.03	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Nuggets	50c	19,943$9,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,971.5	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0824…7099backed Nuggets	50c	19,700$9,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,850	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd97…feecbacked Nuggets	50c	19,614$9,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,862.57	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	49c	18,467$9,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,383.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets	49c	18,367$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,367.35	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Lakers	54c	17,514$9,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,457.41	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9146…5321backed Nuggets	49c	17,465$8,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,907.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets	48c	17,172$8,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,981.68	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets	49c	16,327$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,326.53	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Lakers	52c	14,736$7,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,602	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets	49c	14,708$7,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,501.05	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets	49c	14,163$7,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,157.73	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2c…2d2abacked Nuggets	50c	14,026$7,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,013	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Nuggets	49c	13,376$6,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,821.51	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets	49c	12,071$5,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,156.38	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	48c	11,471$5,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,953.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets	50c	11,350$5,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,675	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets	49c	11,021$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,620.69	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets	50c	10,455$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,255.1	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets	50c	10,050$5,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,025	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers	50c	10,000$5,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,038.56	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Nuggets	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,799.98	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets	50c	9,800$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Nuggets	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,755.94	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets	50c	9,655$4,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,849.39	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Lakers	50c	9,450$4,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,724.75	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers	51c	9,082$4,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,631.28	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Lakers	51c	9,000$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Nuggets	49c	8,198$4,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,180.96	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Nuggets	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,160	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets	50c	7,960$3,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,980	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Lakers	48c	7,951$3,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,816.48	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Lakers	52c	6,872$3,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,541.3	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets	50c	6,773$3,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,386.5	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers	50c	6,500$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Nuggets	50c	6,248$3,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,124	259	45.6%118 W · 141 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Lakers	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00bb…bc4cbacked Nuggets	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Nuggets	49c	5,465$2,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,787.1	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Nuggets	46c	5,300$2,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,862	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets	48c	5,191$2,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.22	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Nuggets	48c	5,061$2,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,631.8	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lakers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Nuggets	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.76	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Lakers	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Lakers	54c	4,630$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	47c	4,412$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,332.03	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets	49c	4,389$2,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,258.63	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets	46c	4,347$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.38	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Lakers	52c	4,231$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Nuggets	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Nuggets	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.63	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Nuggets	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.63	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets	50c	3,921$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960.5	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Lakers	52c	3,500$1,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,805	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers	54c	3,425$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,845.97	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	47c	3,289$1,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,735.96	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Nuggets	50c	3,068$1,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers	52c	3,050$1,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.94	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Lakers	52c	3,000$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Nuggets	47c	2,865$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.45	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Nuggets	49c	2,755$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,405.1	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets	49c	2,752$1,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,403.44	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets	48c	2,560$1,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.3	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets	48c	2,542$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.01	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nuggets	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers	49c	2,455$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.71	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba93…2740backed Nuggets	50c	2,443$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.42	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Nuggets	49c	2,355$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.1	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Nuggets	47c	2,162$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.86	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Nuggets	48c	2,100$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Nuggets	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Nuggets	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Lakers	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers	51c	1,899$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.49	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Lakers	48c	1,875$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Lakers	55c	1,720$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.73	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets	45c	1,697$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.62	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers	52c	1,600$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Nuggets	59c	1,589$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.47	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5No won
Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5No won
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Lakers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event