NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16cabb08b41c8140a14fc55d0e203cf52340ddbc6adbecf1929ada8239efb2a6

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $366,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,229 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under	48c	311,679$149,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162,330.77	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	52c	200,000$104,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	52c	81,152$42,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,256.4	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.99	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under	48c	8,381$4,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,358.15	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	53c	6,107$3,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,207.26	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	53c	5,459$2,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,873.23	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over	52c	3,234$1,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,681.85	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	52c	3,215$1,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.8	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under	48c	2,314$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.06	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	57c	2,183$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.91	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b0…0b70backed Under	46c	2,099$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.46	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	46c	2,079$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.35	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over	50c	1,982$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.4	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over	52c	1,966$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.54	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over	54c	1,879$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.72	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	53c	1,699$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.47	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	53c	1,690$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.7	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	52c	1,667$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.84	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	52c	1,471$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.56	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd222…6441backed Over	54c	1,299$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.46	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	1,078$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	39c	975.59$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.48	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa583…2928backed Under	51c	918.62$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.62	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	54c	817.39$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.39	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Over	54c	800$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	40c	751.07$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.94	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	53c	731$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.43	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under	48c	646.84$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.36	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Under	56c	600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	582.6$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.45	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over	53c	571.16$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.27	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under	60c	495.7$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.03	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	50c	454.75$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.38	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	37c	450.85$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.47	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over	53c	441.5$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	54c	424.13$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.72	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	53c	398.11$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over	53c	320$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.6	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	48c	305.48$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.85	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	51c	301.86$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.42	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	49c	299.06$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.53	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	39c	282.1$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.9	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	46c	270.01$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.89	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	51c	220.62$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.96	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	47c	215.92$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.71	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Under	65c	211.17$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.3	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	54c	187.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.29	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	29c	139.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.68	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd77e…6adcbacked Under	73c	122.36$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	115.01$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	54c	114.16$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.65	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	54c	112.14$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.51	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	47c	77.19$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.18	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	59c	75.81$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	50c	71.48$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.74	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…589ebacked Over	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56a…0edfbacked Under	76c	68.42$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.42	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.36per pick	54cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x514c…d9aabacked Over	53c	66.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4b…688dbacked Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	188	25%47 W · 141 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under	47c	56.83$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over	52c	52.79$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Over	42c	50.08$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under	70c	49.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.81	100	69%69 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	33c	49.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.44	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4d4b…284abacked Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Over	54c	46.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under	76c	46.05$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under	49c	44.41$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.65	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	27c	43.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	51c	39.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over	32c	37.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	225	56.9%128 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over	52c	36.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	53c	31.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Under	48c	31.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.47	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5No won
Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5No won
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Lakers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event