NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x510a8b0b3001a09adadf67c01f27364d15dc9da2e34d8facd66965604cf6ab3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,182 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 54c | 75,088$40,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,835.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 46c | 53,976$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,975.75 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lakers | 54c | 47,941$25,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,888.26 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 46c | 28,025$12,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,133.5 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Nuggets | 47c | 25,870$12,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,711.18 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Lakers | 53c | 22,890$12,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,131.52 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 54c | 21,679$11,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,754.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 16,472$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Lakers | 56c | 16,018$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 46c | 14,833$6,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.77 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 45c | 14,444$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,944.44 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 11,164$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.43 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Nuggets | 45c | 10,267$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.67 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 45c | 9,222$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.22 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,948$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.74 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,774$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.91 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 7,563$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.83 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.82 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 54c | 6,884$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 55c | 6,077$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.53 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Lakers | 56c | 6,003$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.99 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 57c | 5,369$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,222$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.22 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 5,088$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Lakers | 51c | 4,463$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.94 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,347$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.38 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets | 45c | 4,200$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Lakers | 56c | 3,800$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets | 47c | 3,626$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.76 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 54c | 3,387$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,366$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 3,329$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.38 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Lakers | 1c | 3,287$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…1dd8backed Lakers | 59c | 2,841$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,778$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.26 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 54c | 2,406$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,287$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.78 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,081$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,985$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 53c | 1,876$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,860$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Lakers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lakers | 53c | 1,830$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.09 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 43c | 1,695$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,662$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.62 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,584$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.78 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…e86cbacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,486$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…ba19backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,471$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Lakers | 1c | 1,378$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lakers | 48c | 1,355$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…7014backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,322$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,255$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.69 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,196$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,117$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lakers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Lakers | 52c | 992.26$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Nuggets | 45c | 883.29$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.81 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 47c | 796.01$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.12 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nuggets | 54c | 749.78$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 56c | 720.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Nuggets | 69c | 719.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Lakers | 55c | 707.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.4 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Lakers | 48c | 679.66$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…a460backed Lakers | 42c | 642.42$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Lakers | 40c | 616.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Lakers | 54c | 600$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…aad6backed Lakers | 52c | 598.87$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 45c | 579.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 37c | 560$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…e1e8backed Lakers | 51c | 550.31$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 544$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 540$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets | 45c | 527.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 30c | 524.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Lakers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Lakers | 55c | 444.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 46c | 408$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…49bfbacked Lakers | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Lakers | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Lakers | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Lakers | 36c | 398.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Lakers | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 53c | 379.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Lakers | 52c | 379.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 44c | 379$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 38c | 368.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Nuggets | 44c | 360.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Lakers | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.