TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,769 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Under53c57,334$30,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,947.0526253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c25,684$12,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,027.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under52c23,408$12,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,236.3287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c15,677$7,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,447.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00bb…bc4cbacked Over49c13,786$6,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,755580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c10,225$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.011,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c9,040$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,297.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over47c8,679$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,078.8448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under52c7,679$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.2712855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over47c5,974$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.743941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over47c5,777$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,71515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c5,359$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Under52c4,231$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.773268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c4,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.9479549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c3,962$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over48c3,374$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63417344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c2,523$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.81,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c2,515$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,433$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over46c2,205$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01517454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,877$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.942,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under55c1,828$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.1814152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c1,675$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c1,520$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.235,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over2c1,335$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4667921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c1,261$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.4937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over27c1,212$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over47c1,165$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.711653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Over48c1,134$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.324742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under72c967.95$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.951,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over29c954.19$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3873756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c859.23$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14414456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0413547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c557.46$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under51c549.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8925backed Under52c448.67$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c396.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.371,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under53c386.39$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.616338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under53c383$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3728245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over46c304.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under53c284.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7111754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under54c276.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5724946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under54c252.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11647852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe102…67babacked Under79c235.78$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.553669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over45c223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3515543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3120147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6829554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over47c173.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5721748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c171.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c151.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.61,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under55c147.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7811855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under52c142.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9120847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.630845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.124955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over29c129.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under56c127.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2518055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c123.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.372,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c120.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.091,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under52c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.438464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb96…34b9backed Over48c114.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…1618backed Over48c113.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.422263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5e1…d473backed Over48c111.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac56…9accbacked Under56c110.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…6266backed Over48c108.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c108.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c106.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.061,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under54c106.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8683158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c1…a528backed Under51c105.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.782445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under58c103.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4215253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under56c97.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.815453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under54c97.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3436045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over46c93.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c89.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.