TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe102…67ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.22
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.59
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.72
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.07
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.19
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$49.55
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.7
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.79
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick68cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.73
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ShindeN (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Abacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Dbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. South Alabama Jaguars (W)backed South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.33
Murray State Racers vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.48
Rhode Island Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+62.5%+$8.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.