CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - IZI WEX Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c6ab0c304469381e476f97bbc401f8bc797d73a0f16b45802eef62721f93ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof ARCRED, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 1,025$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.17 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…3335backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 906$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED | 58c | 532.92$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…40e9backed ARCRED | 74c | 491$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…837dbacked ARCRED | 74c | 428$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked ARCRED | 75c | 427.07$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked ARCRED | 75c | 243.9$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6133…be6bbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 234$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…6b25backed ARCRED | 74c | 221$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ARCRED | 72c | 208.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked ARCRED | 72c | 70.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…67babacked ARCRED | 75c | 66.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked ARCRED | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed ARCRED | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed ARCRED | 59c | 24.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed ARCRED | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…5845backed ARCRED | 75c | 18.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.