NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9a8fc32810d01e64450caa17665c86de30a5ca82f593b0cd81ae63afa76edb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Islanders, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 46c | 44,759$20,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,487.27 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Islanders | 45c | 29,528$13,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,287.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Kings | 54c | 21,700$11,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,981.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Kings | 53c | 21,019$11,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,878.87 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 47c | 17,313$8,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,068.81 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Kings | 53c | 16,562$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,784.21 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Islanders | 3c | 15,984$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.24 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 76c | 12,011$9,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Kings | 55c | 10,161$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Kings | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 55c | 8,969$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 52c | 8,908$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.9 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Kings | 54c | 8,760$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Islanders | 29c | 7,850$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 54c | 6,655$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.72 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…03fdbacked Islanders | 0c | 6,388$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings | 53c | 6,049$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings | 53c | 5,250$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.5 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 26c | 5,050$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.49 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Islanders | 16c | 4,265$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.76 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Kings | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.73 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Kings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.93 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…346bbacked Islanders | 44c | 2,700$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 30c | 2,678$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3190backed Kings | 56c | 2,601$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders | 20c | 2,560$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings | 54c | 2,555$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.29 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 47c | 2,402$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kings | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.89 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Kings | 57c | 1,911$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.63 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 33c | 1,886$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.48 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Islanders | 34c | 1,770$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.4 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…4d55backed Islanders | 20c | 1,749$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,691$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.86 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…048dbacked Islanders | 38c | 1,618$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Islanders | 37c | 1,499$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 71c | 1,402$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.72 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders | 7c | 1,399$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 46c | 1,375$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.2 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Kings | 52c | 1,355$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Islanders | 15c | 1,311$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Islanders | 47c | 1,300$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.65 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Islanders | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Islanders | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 8c | 1,219$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…ad25backed Islanders | 8c | 1,196$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Islanders | 25c | 1,152$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 67c | 1,151$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 53c | 1,123$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.9 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Islanders | 3c | 1,099$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Islanders | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Islanders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 78c | 1,025$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Kings | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kings | 54c | 982.94$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Islanders | 44c | 909.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Kings | 55c | 890.91$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Islanders | 2c | 885$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…38a3backed Kings | 55c | 813.27$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kings | 55c | 776.9$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.37 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Kings | 74c | 765$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…c199backed Kings | 55c | 762.16$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…762bbacked Kings | 56c | 760$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 54c | 739.17$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 30c | 725.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Islanders | 21c | 714.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…0241backed Islanders | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Islanders | 45c | 700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…ae8ebacked Islanders | 44c | 690$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…6bb7backed Kings | 54c | 689.95$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…13bebacked Islanders | 45c | 670$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Kings | 54c | 669.94$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b21…7accbacked Islanders | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Islanders | 28c | 651.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kings | 54c | 640$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 71c | 612.29$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Islanders | 48c | 600$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Kings | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…83cfbacked Kings | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Kings | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 66c | 597.67$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kings | 54c | 590.77$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kings | 63c | 589.59$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 20c | 584.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Islanders | 7c | 576.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings | 54c | 540$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Islanders | 19c | 539.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Islanders | 47c | 532$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Kings | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kings | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…8ca9backed Islanders | 45c | 479.73$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…dd71backed Kings | 55c | 479.16$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Kingsthis page
- Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.