TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,098 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Under52c51,833$26,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,942.641,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c19,150$9,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,957.9956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over48c15,161$7,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,883.9417057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c10,191$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,095.541,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over50c10,089$5,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.56254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over48c5,120$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.1421856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c4,757$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.252,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c2,963$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.21,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c2,176$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.0259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over47c2,080$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.5921555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c1,259$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.583,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over51c1,191$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over53c1,121$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.4442254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39227150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c528.89$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8947256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c381.85$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c374.48$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.811,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c349.54$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.441,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under59c278.59$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.142,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Under55c276.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Over51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under53c234.19$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1212058.3%70 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c231.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over48c229.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.551,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over49c226.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c212.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6321754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9813053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c192$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.841,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa80…f251backed Under55c182.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c181.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0316447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under49c165.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over47c161.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1826657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under47c128.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.526533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under55c125$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under54c124.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6733154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…c759backed Under54c117.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.133748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c115.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.831,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over63c112$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under37c112$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.446453.1%34 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c110.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.42,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under54c109.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5932155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over47c107.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2319033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013450.7%68 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508257.3%47 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under53c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5817458%101 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over50c85.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6362346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over44c79.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.424442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under53c79.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9718551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under52c76.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under52c76.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over48c73.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.971,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Under53c73.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.854447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under52c73.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1114853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under52c65.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3429052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under54c63.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under53c61.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5236852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…25dfbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8215649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c54.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under54c53.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under53c53.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4911955.5%66 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under62c52.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.85463%34 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under50c52.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1811233.9%38 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c51.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under53c51.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4619356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under53c50.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8749053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under53c50.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8928550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under53c50.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.748354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.963852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519052.1%99 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadce…a482backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730d…98c0backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Under53c41.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1411248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under53c41.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1411450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Over38c40.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65052%26 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under60c36.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1439344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under49c35.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.178644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2c…bba5backed Under53c34.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fc…0637backed Under53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.515944.7%71 W · 88 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over48c32.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.126144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under53c32.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713648.5%66 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under53c30.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.427950.6%40 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over45c30.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7718547.6%88 W · 97 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Under53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over47c29.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.893129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over51c29.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5511952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under53c28.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.174641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under53c27.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.525354.2%137 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b3…e83abacked Under53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.315754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Under53c26.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.323554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under53c26.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.259558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.