TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Pelicans, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,247,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,247,342 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Suns63c217,887$137,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,618.3172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pelicans37c135,135$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.8443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Pelicans37c108,000$39,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,959.9914663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Suns63c100,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,00011955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans38c100,000$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,999.8848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns68c64,142$43,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,455.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans38c50,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.9543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans38c39,584$15,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,133.771,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans14c29,359$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns64c28,816$18,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,266.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Suns62c28,704$17,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,907.588944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Pelicans21c28,352$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans37c27,000$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99059347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Suns65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans37c24,080$8,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,909.61,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Suns66c22,414$14,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,620.7819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pelicans27c21,872$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00011737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans6c20,119$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.641,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c20,024$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Suns71c19,989$14,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,862.626353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns63c19,723$12,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,202.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Suns62c16,753$10,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,366.123257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns67c16,316$10,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans12c14,582$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans11c14,529$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.231,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Suns78c12,860$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.352556%14 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Pelicans35c12,286$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3005341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans8c11,728$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.041,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans37c11,694$4,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,326.7737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pelicans33c10,760$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.832039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Suns62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800.034143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Pelicans33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3006943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Pelicans37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7009343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Suns67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.922646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Suns62c9,370$5,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.68728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns68c9,096$6,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.243,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns63c8,802$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Suns61c8,558$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.5754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns65c8,459$5,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans35c8,321$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.151,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns62c8,127$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.11,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Pelicans33c7,900$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60710035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Suns67c7,900$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.989758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Suns67c7,836$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.5462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Suns67c7,761$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.1913063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans23c7,685$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.2950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Suns79c7,345$5,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.041,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans3c6,879$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.371,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Suns57c6,506$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.0110158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Suns62c6,338$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.462,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns64c5,354$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans30c5,190$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.8685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Pelicans35c5,143$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95d8…1accbacked Pelicans39c5,064$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9751361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pelicans3c4,865$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.883179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c4,534$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.158820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c27…b9e5backed Suns67c4,450$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Suns61c4,426$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.7424151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Suns62c4,334$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.8717356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Suns68c4,321$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.36841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Suns73c4,278$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.818440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2694…64a5backed Pelicans34c4,142$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Suns68c4,133$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.682,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pelicans37c4,076$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans36c4,043$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.5232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Pelicans34c4,031$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.5425546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pelicans38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c0…0982backed Suns67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Suns64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Pelicans34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9920349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pelicans34c4,000$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.9765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Suns72c3,823$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.8731345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Pelicans39c3,642$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.3825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Suns64c3,621$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.2916251.2%83 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Suns63c3,347$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd854…ab8abacked Pelicans15c3,243$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.394637%17 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans0c3,202$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.725213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Pelicans21c3,143$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…0008backed Suns68c3,142$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cd…997dbacked Suns68c3,140$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2169…9e98backed Suns68c3,135$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Suns65c3,099$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.519136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Pelicans24c3,035$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71920843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Pelicans32c3,016$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.287143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Suns67c3,010$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.817162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Pelicans37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pelicans34c3,000$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.6368944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pelicans32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Suns64c2,904$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.729352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans8c2,904$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.43,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Suns66c2,866$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.4648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Suns63c2,866$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.7862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…0b32backed Pelicans33c2,800$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8373…5dbcbacked Suns62c2,781$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans35c2,654$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.421,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Pelicans38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2938…caf8backed Pelicans37c2,622$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.