TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes29c1,347$392 inWon+$954.831,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No70c1,168$819 inLost-$819.226069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Yes29c705.32$202 inWon+$503.322373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No71c699.97$497 inLost-$496.986669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c369$261 inLost-$261.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd7…9bc0backed Yes50c147.24$73 inWon+$74.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No50c126.41$63 inLost-$63.2114634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee76…ef51backed Yes35c114.26$40 inWon+$74.27837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ef…3792backed Yes28c103.57$29 inWon+$74.573729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes27c84.16$23 inWon+$61.449348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No72c69.44$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No72c56$40 inLost-$40.3295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No73c50.17$36 inLost-$36.4965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Yes35c50$18 inWon+$32.54045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…ba18backed Yes27c42.53$11 inWon+$31.115131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No73c40$29 inLost-$29.290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f796backed No58c25.86$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No72c24.39$18 inLost-$17.6692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No74c13.53$10 inLost-$10.0183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.