NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a4c9ccdba601dee22ae0eda7035f3de6b9963df308ed5be4a62b81b05f7c3a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Suns, Pelicans
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns	47c	6,311$2,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,963.27	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans	51c	4,898$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,398.21	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pelicans	56c	4,885$2,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.18	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans	44c	4,757$2,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,663.73	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns	45c	4,142$1,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Pelicans	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns	54c	2,414$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.04	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns	44c	1,705$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.75	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns	44c	1,558$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.97	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Suns	56c	1,456$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.4	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns	52c	1,114$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns	44c	1,102$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.02	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Suns	59c	827$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.93	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Suns	46c	808.7$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Pelicans	71c	707.43$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.43	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Suns	46c	649.12$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns	29c	631.68$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.19	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns	46c	598.42$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.87	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns	45c	524.91$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.66	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans	59c	424.07$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.87	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Suns	42c	336.41$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.96	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns	55c	307.56$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.26	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b29backed Suns	44c	297.21$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.77	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pelicans	53c	288.9$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.78	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns	41c	286.87$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.36	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Pelicans	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Pelicans	54c	185.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.84	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Suns	42c	169$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.98	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pelicans	59c	166.66$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.33	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pelicans	64c	160$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.94	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf833…9e29backed Pelicans	56c	153.84$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.69	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Pelicans	56c	143.37$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.08	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Pelicans	54c	140$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.4	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pelicans	59c	135$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.35	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Suns	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Pelicans	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Pelicans	59c	93.22$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.22	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Suns	46c	88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Suns	43c	82.53$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.49	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Suns	43c	82.53$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.49	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Pelicans	58c	81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns	45c	73.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.95	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns	46c	68.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Suns	48c	62.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.16	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns	44c	62.63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Suns	47c	56.6$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Suns	42c	56.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Suns	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Pelicans	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c90…9bbfbacked Suns	49c	44.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Pelicans	54c	40.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Pelicans	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans	52c	35.48$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.85	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Suns	48c	35.42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Pelicans	59c	30.61$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns	47c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Suns	46c	25.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Pelicans	56c	23.21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns	45c	22.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Suns (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. SunsSuns won
Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Spread: Suns (-4.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Suns (-5.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5No won
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Suns (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event