NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f65957d45a7281c0478839af492c93e6d0a001eb50cd7a38334e91e47052d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,945 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 3,068$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.39 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 60c | 1,877$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.04 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,587$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 1,085$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 45c | 999.79$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.89 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 820$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 812.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 46c | 799.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Under | 45c | 689.31$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Under | 51c | 654.9$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 40c | 511.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 482.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Over | 55c | 451.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 435.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 54c | 433.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 420.85$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 402.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 399.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Over | 55c | 239.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 53c | 195.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 181.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 152.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 120.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 114.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 102$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 94.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 94.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 51c | 88.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 86.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 68.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 50c | 57.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 45.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 55c | 29.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 65c | 18.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. SunsSuns won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.