NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e83dc4ef8e147519896f8f39b75dd8152f80aa35073e082edfa1366a5d43dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Under | 69c | 25,000$17,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,249.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 31c | 18,074$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,434.25 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 6,558$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 49c | 2,914$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 2,793$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.81 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 57c | 2,482$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.86 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 2,198$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,864$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,685$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 1,056$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 633$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.16 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 615.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 527.66$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Under | 60c | 419$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 33c | 317.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.34 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 42c | 282.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 244.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 197.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 59c | 169.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 70c | 165.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 31c | 156.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 48c | 155.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 114.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 57c | 89.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 33c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 56c | 49.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 44.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 45c | 35.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6f5ebacked Under | 50c | 31.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 27.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. SunsSuns won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.