TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Suns, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,209 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,499.9343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns45c41,284$18,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,577.9672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Suns47c38,610$18,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,146.730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans53c25,204$13,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,851.832,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans51c10,715$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,201.074,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Suns49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns47c6,907$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans54c6,752$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pelicans51c6,519$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.2717554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Suns48c6,129$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.521,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans53c5,198$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans54c4,339$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.8515349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Suns48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns48c3,508$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Suns44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns48c2,872$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.5334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47a…b2d4backed Pelicans49c2,757$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Suns47c2,734$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.98148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Suns48c2,675$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans53c2,540$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans51c2,371$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.741,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Suns47c2,140$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns49c2,065$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Pelicans50c2,051$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.515849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans55c1,716$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.21,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns50c1,694$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Suns54c1,555$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.661,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans53c1,270$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.752,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans50c1,132$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.9282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns49c1,041$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Pelicans55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Pelicans55c992.73$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7332450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d46…3215backed Suns53c991.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Suns47c930.99$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.9714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans51c744$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Suns45c737.51$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.261,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Pelicans55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2714450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Pelicans50c675.44$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7217748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns46c660.96$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.972,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns46c633.93$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Suns47c561.48$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Suns52c511.54$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Suns46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns49c483.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Suns53c431.36$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Suns50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Suns45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Pelicans54c399.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9916148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Pelicans49c393.86$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked Suns49c381.82$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.094161%25 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Suns48c354.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Suns53c320.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Pelicans48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.526640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns46c305.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans52c291.56$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.951,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Suns48c274.65$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Suns46c266.47$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5855846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Suns44c254.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.171,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns48c228.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.942,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744f…4eacbacked Pelicans56c212.72$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pelicans52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Suns50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe209…f457backed Suns45c197.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ba…30b7backed Suns45c193.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cf…216cbacked Pelicans56c178.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pelicans56c175.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans52c152.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.191,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Suns49c145.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Suns49c143.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Suns53c138.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6130845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns45c129.05$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.221,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pelicans51c125.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Suns53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns47c112.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Suns45c110.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Pelicans46c109.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…d0eebacked Pelicans48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Pelicans51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Suns51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Suns46c87.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans48c82.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.181,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Pelicans51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Pelicans56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.437454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans47c68.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.442,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Suns47c65.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5911947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Pelicans54c63.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1338252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns50c61.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.853,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Pelicans51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8225753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Pelicans51c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…7af9backed Pelicans49c55.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.373158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Pelicans60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.960267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb9…9dbabacked Pelicans52c48.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.