TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,656 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes46c2,975$1,361 inLost-$1,360.919348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No56c2,958$1,644 inWon+$1,313.651,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes44c2,200$976 inLost-$976.0336954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c594.09$337 inWon+$256.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes47c530$249 inLost-$249.195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No70c500$350 inWon+$1505,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost-$1501,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No57c183.73$105 inWon+$78.5583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc948…7315backed Yes50c180$90 inLost-$89.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No56c154$87 inWon+$67.0892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes43c138$60 inLost-$59.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83bf…c5c8backed Yes42c104.76$44 inLost-$44425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No55c90.91$50 inWon+$40.9197049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes46c78$36 inLost-$35.881,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No54c78$42 inWon+$35.8814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a8…1932backed Yes41c61.09$25 inLost-$252245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…2e38backed Yes43c56.81$24 inLost-$24.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Yes41c49.6$20 inLost-$20.341546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No57c40$23 inWon+$17.396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No58c20.54$12 inWon+$8.5519555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.