TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,169 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over50c16,001$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000.365945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c7,384$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.9752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over52c3,843$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84317246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c3,237$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c2,982$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under50c2,951$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.11,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Over56c2,899$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.617850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,655$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15012552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under44c1,883$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.6225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c1,849$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.5170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c1,774$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f38…268bbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…4b86backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0aa…e9d8backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdc…9073backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…06b4backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…e843backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aee…c55cbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2857…18ccbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5524…75f3backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de0…5b02backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe483…d26abacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…84e5backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…2401backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…e684backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…6a62backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8af…bab8backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f5…d70cbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e8…9a77backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70e0…0f54backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291c…2b66backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c4…12afbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7366…c508backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x702d…55ddbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x406b…88a6backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c6…68acbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5935…cfbdbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59bb…695abacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f32…a472backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5e…ffa1backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b2…ae1ebacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24aa…e944backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0429…5110backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3e…08d9backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5daa…cad9backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…9d59backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…d922backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6067…6905backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5a…3810backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…9dfabacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5e…c544backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8df…7d99backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bbd…1007backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d3…16a0backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b3…b263backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…b408backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…2bd2backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8808…ddf6backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6fb…f18cbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7043…0881backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ab…0d2ebacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under37c1,258$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over56c1,027$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7911159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over52c907.25$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.4841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c828.21$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under45c800$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c708.54$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under51c701.96$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3588647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c692.16$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.363,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c617$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.316,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c579.28$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.532,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under50c494.72$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3618650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c491.67$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.013,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under26c429.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c391.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c312.34$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over51c309.37$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5910149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under44c297.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9735843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c267.81$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.232,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Over76c245$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.85837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under44c222.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.456547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c146.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.571,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Over54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.12334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3077…d15dbacked Under46c129$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.341850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6923657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under10c115.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9811128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c112.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over58c102.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.591,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over68c95.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under43c88.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1514533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.