TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,747 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under48c60,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,799.91,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c52,000$27,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,96060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under48c40,033$19,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,215.591,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c10,910$5,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,274.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9626648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c6,204$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.012,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.231,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c3,546$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c3,494$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c3,464$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c3,000$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c2,699$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.312,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c1,993$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.7269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c1,233$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.911,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under48c1,044$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50121355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c860.03$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under49c652$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c635$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under9c527.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7414634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c463$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c370.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.691,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under48c348.54$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c290.17$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over52c267.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1214466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over53c248.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8414053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over46c233$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over53c216.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9839552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c207.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8326756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Under49c204.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b49…1f54backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c199.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c192.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over53c189.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5630654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over53c188.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8722447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Over53c188.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7214059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over52c172.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7514046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Under49c168.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.626150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd15f…a9dbbacked Over53c168.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c162.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.581,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2938…caf8backed Under54c155.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c150.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.85,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over52c146.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over53c145.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0631354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c129.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9612046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0875…167cbacked Over74c114.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.793565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Over52c112.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.714252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over44c110.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.31,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Under50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over54c105.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7316338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5737848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5722850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9339435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c99.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Under48c97.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.793554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c88.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c82.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over53c71.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9819659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5426…adf4backed Under55c70.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3b…518abacked Over53c68.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c66.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.383,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over52c62.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9117960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Under48c56.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.176845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over52c42.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6717153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c40.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c40.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.461,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c39.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.383,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4610545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.244148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over53c37.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8127854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over53c37.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7547852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9684…cebdbacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207866.7%52 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Over53c34.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.522853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.