TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,337 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b45…9723backed No65c999.98$650 inLost-$649.9926069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No60c850$510 inLost-$5106669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes40c685.25$277 inWon+$408.4195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ef…3792backed Yes35c585.71$205 inWon+$380.713729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc948…7315backed Yes40c500$200 inWon+$3001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c369$218 inLost-$217.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon+$185.713925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x675d…c10cbacked Yes53c216.87$115 inWon+$101.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes43c144.15$62 inWon+$82.3493145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed No57c139.99$80 inLost-$80.196149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No45c129.76$58 inLost-$58.391,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e5…193bbacked Yes35c128.55$45 inWon+$83.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No47c69.14$32 inLost-$32.51,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda62…eb8cbacked Yes51c58.97$30 inWon+$28.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No49c40$20 inLost-$19.688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No65c18.46$12 inLost-$1219555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.