NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3675ea94726cff70bd598e0cbe326c17d610d56fad340716b5c513c1eda167b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Suns, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 49c | 60,850$29,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,816.42 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…7099backed Suns | 48c | 35,286$16,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,937.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Suns | 48c | 15,503$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,441.37 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Suns | 48c | 9,792$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.76 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,550$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Suns | 48c | 3,837$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 3,706$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 48c | 3,062$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Suns | 52c | 2,912$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 48c | 2,629$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,374$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.9 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 48c | 2,109$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,003$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.58 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Suns | 48c | 1,898$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.09 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 52c | 1,364$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,354$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 52c | 930.26$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.01 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 38c | 764.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 49c | 763.65$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Pelicans | 52c | 673$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Suns | 49c | 609.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns | 48c | 471.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Pelicans | 54c | 465.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Suns | 49c | 412.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Suns | 49c | 366.82$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 50c | 341.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 336.08$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Suns | 48c | 226.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans | 46c | 217.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Pelicans | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 19c | 192.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pelicans | 28c | 178.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 7c | 175.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Pelicans | 53c | 139.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pelicans | 21c | 132.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Pelicans | 52c | 120.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Suns | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Pelicans | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Suns | 58c | 113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 53c | 108.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 106.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Suns | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Suns | 50c | 94.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pelicans | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pelicans | 59c | 93.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Suns | 50c | 89.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Suns | 56c | 87.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 48c | 86.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pelicans | 52c | 83.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Suns | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Suns | 50c | 76.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 43c | 72.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans | 53c | 70.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Suns | 50c | 69.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 67.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Suns | 61c | 65.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 45c | 63.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Suns | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Pelicans | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Pelicans | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 52c | 57.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pelicans | 52c | 57.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Pelicans | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 49.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Suns | 56c | 49.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Pelicans | 51c | 49.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Suns | 58c | 48.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…6119backed Pelicans | 53c | 47.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Suns | 51c | 44.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Suns | 55c | 42.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Suns | 50c | 41.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Suns | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Suns | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Suns | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. SunsSuns won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.