CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6eb393fc668da2565237876008aee7b3f928e6cc0c854b9a457f936d34176e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 51c | 185,622$95,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,106.28 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 133,464$64,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,062.6 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 50c | 41,566$20,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,783.16 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 50c | 6,025$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.64 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 3,174$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.78 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 1,015$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…cd1ebacked Under | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…e553backed Under | 49c | 795$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…6814backed Over | 51c | 769$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 49c | 627.96$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…c9bbbacked Over | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cc…3d7abacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e008backed Over | 51c | 395$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…3e73backed Over | 51c | 395$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…b67fbacked Under | 49c | 392$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…71efbacked Under | 49c | 377$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 49c | 199.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 194.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 52c | 188.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…db84backed Under | 49c | 149$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 126.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…9c94backed Under | 48c | 104.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 52c | 101.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 51c | 91.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 48c | 71.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…20d4backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 73c | 66.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 43c | 60.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 58c | 54.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…cc2dbacked Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 59c | 50.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…0ab6backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 45c | 48.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 42c | 42.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…67babacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…ae8abacked Over | 48c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…ffe3backed Under | 50c | 31.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…746abacked Under | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…b97fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…c253backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 50c | 28.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 38c | 26.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Over | 48c | 25.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…eb67backed Under | 56c | 22.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 80c | 22.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fea…732dbacked Over | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5822backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…71e6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…7160backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…47a4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1M80 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.