CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb327e42b792a3dd00506cdd6896f43d9d6619a22ea4594b0acf4b5e97750dc7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of NIP, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked M80 | 72c | 11,042$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.86 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed NIP | 39c | 10,483$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.36 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed NIP | 54c | 8,486$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.39 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed M80 | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NIP | 28c | 4,260$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed M80 | 39c | 2,474$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked NIP | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed M80 | 72c | 1,734$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 69c | 1,552$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked NIP | 38c | 1,343$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.52 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked M80 | 49c | 1,297$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.33 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed M80 | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.19 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed M80 | 72c | 916.99$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M80 | 46c | 889.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.44 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed NIP | 37c | 809.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed NIP | 37c | 800.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 44c | 799.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.29 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 47c | 793.91$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed NIP | 67c | 746.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked M80 | 60c | 719$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.72 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed M80 | 79c | 632.06$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed M80 | 66c | 563.13$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked NIP | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked M80 | 56c | 449.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed NIP | 51c | 430$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed M80 | 49c | 430$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 55c | 427.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 64c | 417.51$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed NIP | 60c | 408.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP | 29c | 407.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP | 14c | 406$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed NIP | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked M80 | 40c | 380$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed M80 | 57c | 364.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked M80 | 44c | 356$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked NIP | 8c | 346.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed M80 | 79c | 326.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked M80 | 71c | 321.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…e924backed NIP | 30c | 306.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed NIP | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6b04backed NIP | 54c | 297.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 8c | 292.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 27c | 269.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked M80 | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed NIP | 22c | 228.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed NIP | 28c | 216.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed M80 | 67c | 211.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked M80 | 54c | 203.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed M80 | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked M80 | 55c | 198$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 44c | 186$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 61c | 184.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed NIP | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 15.9%11 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed NIP | 33c | 154.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed M80 | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked M80 | 43c | 151$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NIP | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed M80 | 75c | 146.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…f147backed NIP | 53c | 138.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked M80 | 62c | 113.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked NIP | 19c | 107.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed NIP | 46c | 107.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed NIP | 43c | 105.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…a34abacked M80 | 67c | 105.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed M80 | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NIP | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed NIP | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NIP | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked M80 | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed NIP | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed NIP | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked M80 | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed M80 | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked NIP | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed NIP | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed M80 | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed M80 | 74c | 70.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed M80 | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked NIP | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NIP | 30c | 67.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed M80 | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed M80 | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…58c9backed M80 | 78c | 62.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed M80 | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked M80 | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed M80 | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 47c | 53.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed M80 | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked NIP | 21c | 49.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked M80 | 73c | 48.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked M80 | 57c | 44.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked M80 | 77c | 44.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked M80 | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked M80 | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 49c | 36.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed NIP | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 288 | 44.1%127 W · 161 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked M80 | 48c | 34.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1M80 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.