TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of NIP, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8375…ba1dbacked M8072c11,042$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.866848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed NIP39c10,483$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.3624550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed NIP54c8,486$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.3911655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed M8046c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NIP28c4,260$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.51,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed M8039c2,474$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked NIP28c2,050$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5745444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed M8072c1,734$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.391471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed M8069c1,552$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.026,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked NIP38c1,343$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5227947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked M8049c1,297$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3341069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed M8042c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.1912742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NIP28c1,100$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.751,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed M8072c916.99$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.992653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M8046c889.68$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.441,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed NIP37c809.93$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.956028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed NIP37c800.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NIP44c799.81$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP47c793.91$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed NIP67c746.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked M8060c719$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7232536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed M8079c632.06$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7341850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed M8066c563.13$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1331452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked NIP2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked M8056c449.86$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.173,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed NIP51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.33040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed M8049c430$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.32634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked M8055c427.53$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.033,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked M8064c417.51$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed NIP60c408.25$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432050%10 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP29c407.14$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6421528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP14c406$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed NIP61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24435848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked M8040c380$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.713845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed M8057c364.67$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked M8044c356$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.572,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked NIP8c346.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.018840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed M8079c326.97$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.528149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked M8071c321.33$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1119355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…e924backed NIP30c306.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NIP11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed NIP54c297.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.252133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP8c292.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.582,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP27c269.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.474,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked M8075c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6725070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed NIP22c228.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6438844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed NIP28c216.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.24953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed M8067c211.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6323861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked M8054c203.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0360857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed M8066c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.56033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked M8055c198$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.631,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8044c186$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.165,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP61c184.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.317,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed NIP28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506915.9%11 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed NIP33c154.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3219342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed M8079c151.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.931372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked M8043c151$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked NIP28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed M8075c146.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.575841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed NIP58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.21,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfd…f147backed NIP53c138.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked M8062c113.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2817467.8%118 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked NIP19c107.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed NIP46c107.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed NIP43c105.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cf…a34abacked M8067c105.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed M8066c104.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.557365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NIP47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8059c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.64,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed NIP53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5327735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked NIP54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked M8070c99.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9931852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed NIP16c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.862538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed NIP30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked M8047c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed M8079c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked NIP54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.213657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a06…cf08backed NIP26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8072c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed M8074c70.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.245248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed M8050c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked NIP58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4071951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NIP30c67.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed M8054c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1129244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed M8054c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b2b…58c9backed M8078c62.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+97.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed M8058c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5446344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked M8058c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5448948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed M8053c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74450%22 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed NIP47c53.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…8eb1backed M8057c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6310051%51 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked NIP21c49.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.446224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked M8073c48.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.152254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked M8057c44.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked M8077c44.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked M8054c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9454346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked M8054c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9449745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP49c36.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed NIP46c34.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628844.1%127 W · 161 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked M8048c34.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9132548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.