CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cedc9621a9b2f148c00a787a57ad6c965de7b604afeff4103415b20849d62a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed M80 | 67c | 21,713$14,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,547.53 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 34c | 12,203$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 56c | 10,558$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.89 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed NIP | 64c | 9,739$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.15 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed M80 | 71c | 4,061$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.37 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked NIP | 52c | 3,830$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked M80 | 58c | 3,301$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.36 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked NIP | 47c | 3,300$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.03 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed M80 | 57c | 2,678$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.76 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed M80 | 44c | 2,565$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.59 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed M80 | 51c | 2,378$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.45 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked M80 | 44c | 2,182$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 35c | 2,072$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NIP | 51c | 1,917$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.24 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed M80 | 35c | 1,857$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked M80 | 50c | 1,747$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.85 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed M80 | 50c | 1,616$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked NIP | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed NIP | 56c | 1,381$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.77 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 49c | 1,029$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked NIP | 54c | 1,012$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.34 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked M80 | 43c | 1,011$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.73 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed M80 | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.04 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed M80 | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed NIP | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed M80 | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked NIP | 52c | 961.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.73 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP | 48c | 931.54$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.06 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked M80 | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed M80 | 44c | 893.18$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed M80 | 72c | 881.57$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.43 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed M80 | 72c | 833.89$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed NIP | 59c | 799.39$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.32 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 51c | 770$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 57c | 742.59$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed M80 | 52c | 726$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed M80 | 58c | 714$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.33 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed M80 | 43c | 699.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked M80 | 43c | 698.2$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.13 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed NIP | 43c | 697.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked M80 | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked NIP | 53c | 607.64$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed NIP | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed NIP | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NIP | 45c | 582.47$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.47 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 54c | 569.96$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.18 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP | 57c | 551$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed NIP | 45c | 540.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.05 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed NIP | 32c | 518.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.68 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked NIP | 58c | 513.58$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed M80 | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed M80 | 50c | 499.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 42c | 492.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b80…937bbacked M80 | 44c | 465.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked NIP | 47c | 428.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 47c | 426.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked M80 | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed M80 | 46c | 399.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked NIP | 50c | 380.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed M80 | 53c | 375.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed NIP | 47c | 373.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed NIP | 35c | 364.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed NIP | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.47 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed M80 | 49c | 307.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked NIP | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed NIP | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked M80 | 52c | 299$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed NIP | 50c | 288.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked NIP | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked M80 | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked M80 | 47c | 272$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NIP | 57c | 270.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed NIP | 55c | 267.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed M80 | 55c | 250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed M80 | 44c | 240.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…5664backed M80 | 46c | 230.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…5efcbacked NIP | 32c | 228.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked M80 | 49c | 225.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…7396backed NIP | 45c | 221.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked NIP | 51c | 211.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked M80 | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed M80 | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed M80 | 54c | 200.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed M80 | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP | 80c | 185.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed NIP | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed NIP | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked NIP | 55c | 181.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed NIP | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked M80 | 46c | 172.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NIP | 55c | 167.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed NIP | 38c | 158.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed NIP | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed NIP | 36c | 152.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed NIP | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked NIP | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…cf6ebacked NIP | 55c | 145.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed M80 | 41c | 143.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1M80 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.