TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3754…9c94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$31.57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$62.87
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+234%+$117
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.7%+$7.69
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+431.2%+$258.71
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$74
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$55.89
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+120%+$59.98
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$87.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.66
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$49.48
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44.22
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$271.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$56.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.53
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.04
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$20.93
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+400%+$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.21
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.42
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.7
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.95
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$156.95
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $PEPE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+58.7%+$6.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.