TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tigre 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefan Palosi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Palosiof Olivieri, Palosi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6748…6c3bbacked Olivieri61c32,451$19,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,811.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Palosi73c18,485$13,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,053.691,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Palosi60c9,086$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Palosi39c6,550$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.312,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Olivieri59c3,371$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Olivieri62c3,100$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92222553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Palosi49c3,026$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.822,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Palosi40c1,974$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.4530241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Palosi46c1,967$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.147057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Palosi47c1,783$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.227,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Palosi58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63049252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Palosi39c1,378$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.064837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Palosi46c1,071$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Olivieri45c1,063$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Palosi76c1,035$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.381,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Palosi37c738.78$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.7824350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Olivieri67c614.07$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.232065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Palosi44c591.72$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.042,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Palosi25c567.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8227935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Palosi20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Palosi42c465.61$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.696,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Olivieri60c455$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Palosi45c449.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.313439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Olivieri48c444.3$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Olivieri28c443$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.26,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Olivieri59c434.69$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.624,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Palosi28c359.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4214541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Olivieri36c341.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8235932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Olivieri76c339.39$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9428764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Olivieri52c307.42$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.561953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Palosi67c306.82$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.72646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Palosi37c257.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.715731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Olivieri78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Palosi39c254.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.981,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Palosi39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Palosi41c243.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.741,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Palosi46c234.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8816358.9%96 W · 67 L+12.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d67…cf6abacked Olivieri25c229.57$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-77.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Palosi78c228$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1613647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Palosi42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1166344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Palosi70c178$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Palosi48c157.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1527539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Palosi32c151.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.956,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Palosi39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.524454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Palosi41c137.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6934149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Olivieri24c119.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.464415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Palosi41c109.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4420039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Olivieri50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3754…9c94backed Palosi23c106.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5142…7b63backed Olivieri59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff44…eb44backed Palosi41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Palosi40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9936349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Olivieri51c97.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Olivieri30c97.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.812,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Palosi62c97.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.274,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Palosi76c96.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9529063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Palosi42c82.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5315650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Palosi38c74.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.261861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Olivieri59c73.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.869543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Olivieri66c72.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Palosi45c71.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.326,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Palosi50c63.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4779052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Palosi50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Palosi50c59.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29347.3%44 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Palosi69c58.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.945147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd015…ec20backed Olivieri75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Olivieri72c52.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3858067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Olivieri57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olivieri60c51.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Olivieri49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Olivieri60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Olivieri63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54548.9%22 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Olivieri61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Palosi41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7844448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Palosi76c43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.431,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Palosi42c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9410835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c69…f90dbacked Olivieri59c41.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.39875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Olivieri53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.252037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Olivieri55c38.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.384,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Palosi38c38.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Palosi38c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3285748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Palosi42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7120664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Palosi59c30.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4714949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc9…7a80backed Palosi55c27.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Palosi59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4220758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Olivieri75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.833,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb955…4b28backed Olivieri74c21.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f60…a419backed Palosi68c20.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf1…a57bbacked Olivieri55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed Palosi56c19.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.824445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Palosi52c19.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Olivieri71c17.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7530254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.