NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x695eda1b15485b2baf853350d3a7a19ae7b8926c1254871e04378767247bde34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Maple Leafs, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $555,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,466 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 146,371$65,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,867.04 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Rangers | 55c | 109,307$59,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,468.9 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers | 55c | 88,642$48,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,140.09 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rangers | 55c | 70,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 70,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.99 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers | 55c | 33,487$18,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,073.71 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 16,900$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 14,209$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.99 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 12,546$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.94 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 11,500$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.97 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,989$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.28 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 9,709$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.23 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Rangers | 55c | 8,888$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rangers | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Rangers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,994$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.46 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 51c | 5,934$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rangers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,616$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,980$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,931$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Rangers | 56c | 3,700$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Rangers | 55c | 3,671$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.73 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…efd9backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,427$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,424$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Rangers | 38c | 3,087$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.21 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rangers | 56c | 3,011$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.88 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.93 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,902$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.74 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…7364backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…1499backed Rangers | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,876$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,846$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.18 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Rangers | 53c | 2,843$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.98 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,738$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.86 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,682$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.62 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 2,641$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,550$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.5 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rangers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,500$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.06 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Maple Leafs | 4c | 2,485$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x244c…ab3ebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…d727backed Rangers | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,200$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.71 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Rangers | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 48c | 2,148$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rangers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.97 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,986$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.87 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rangers | 52c | 1,982$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.49 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,877$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.65 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,643$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.42 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,432$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.95 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,396$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rangers | 55c | 1,385$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,354$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,318$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…e9dabacked Rangers | 56c | 1,311$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,224$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,204$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…e838backed Rangers | 56c | 1,175$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rangers | 54c | 1,131$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.35 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,096$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.42 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rangers | 38c | 1,087$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.68 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,025$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.55 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,004$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Rangers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Rangers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Rangers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 953.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.87 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers | 52c | 944.58$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Rangers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Rangers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Rangers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rangers | 52c | 873$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…83cfbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Rangers | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…ae8ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 770$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…94c7backed Rangers | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…4c2dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 755.9$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…0d61backed Rangers | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed Rangers | 53c | 740$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Rangersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Rangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.