NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f999d88b8093dff04addf91700d88529608e9c1b17645bdd325e948b09fcdb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,006,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,687 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Red Wings | 54c | 350,260$189,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,140.41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 46c | 224,617$103,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,293.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Senators | 46c | 118,830$54,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,264.83 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Red Wings | 54c | 108,642$58,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,666.53 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 54c | 79,852$42,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,820.51 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators | 46c | 68,819$31,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,162.03 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senators | 46c | 56,798$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,797.82 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Senators | 46c | 54,000$24,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,160 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 63c | 39,979$25,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,792.4 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Senators | 45c | 21,390$9,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,764.57 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Senators | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Red Wings | 50c | 16,835$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.39 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 45c | 14,404$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.25 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Red Wings | 53c | 14,083$7,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,464.02 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 47c | 11,579$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,127.53 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Senators | 46c | 10,500$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.97 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators | 46c | 10,500$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Senators | 46c | 10,200$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.96 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Senators | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 47c | 9,041$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.84 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Red Wings | 49c | 6,210$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.46 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 71c | 6,093$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.23 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Senators | 47c | 5,660$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Red Wings | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.99 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 52c | 5,330$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.2 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 47c | 5,143$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.55 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Senators | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.93 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 47c | 4,810$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.74 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…f276backed Senators | 47c | 4,685$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 47c | 4,444$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.42 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…aa24backed Senators | 47c | 4,188$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…3652backed Red Wings | 53c | 4,173$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 63c | 4,109$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Senators | 45c | 4,007$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.9 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings | 23c | 3,976$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.67 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 36c | 3,622$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.98 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 66c | 3,480$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…9fc0backed Red Wings | 53c | 3,347$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Senators | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Senators | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.81 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 80c | 3,192$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Senators | 47c | 3,065$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…a32ebacked Senators | 47c | 3,005$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Senators | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed Red Wings | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,726$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.08 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Senators | 46c | 2,664$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.47 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,588$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.54 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 2,555$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.13 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…5970backed Senators | 46c | 2,539$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…c058backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,528$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 27c | 2,470$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.65 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Senators | 47c | 2,470$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.22 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…d618backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,468$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…13cebacked Senators | 46c | 2,458$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,441$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…b91cbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfb…21bcbacked Senators | 46c | 2,398$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…1501backed Senators | 47c | 2,333$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…c345backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,211$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,206$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.26 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Senators | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…38d6backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Senators | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Senators | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Senators | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Senators | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.98 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Senators | 47c | 1,890$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,878$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 65c | 1,730$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.45 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Senators | 46c | 1,684$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Senators | 73c | 1,684$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.46 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Senators | 46c | 1,683$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.2 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 70c | 1,667$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Red Wings | 35c | 1,582$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,518$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.83 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Senators | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 33c | 1,491$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 46c | 1,487$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.24 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings | 19c | 1,468$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Senators | 46c | 1,329$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Senators | 48c | 1,329$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.95 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Senators | 45c | 1,328$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Senators | 47c | 1,315$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.02 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Senators | 46c | 1,309$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.03 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,288$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.52 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Senators | 47c | 1,227$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.96 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.