NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7361ccaf0257fe1b0247a6b8a5ec0898e49b0ceaf7b89ee8a3a96539efb75ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,095 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 47c | 31,209$14,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,541.37 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 47c | 28,709$13,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,305.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 19,665$10,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,422.52 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 53c | 16,431$8,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,708.43 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 12,999$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.54 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 8,275$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.12 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 47c | 6,995$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.24 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 6,306$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.18 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 53c | 6,119$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.07 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 4,560$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…6c49backed Under | 46c | 3,702$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…dcb1backed Over | 54c | 3,702$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…6f98backed Over | 54c | 3,701$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…9383backed Under | 46c | 3,701$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 2,910$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 1,492$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.53 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 799.97$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 765.06$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 474.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 54c | 373.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.87 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 53c | 291.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 248$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Over | 54c | 244.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 47c | 237.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Over | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…2bc7backed Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 182.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Under | 59c | 170.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…9db5backed Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 41c | 160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…bba8backed Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…f767backed Under | 45c | 132$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 117.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 53c | 116.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 109.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 59c | 101.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 137 | 58.4%80 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 46c | 92.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 53c | 92.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Under | 47c | 81.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…8e22backed Over | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Over | 53c | 75.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…3b16backed Over | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 65.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…2790backed Over | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 45c | 58.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 57.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 54c | 53.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…249cbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 79c | 47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 54c | 46.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…e845backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…fee6backed Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…cde0backed Over | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 46c | 40.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 54c | 38.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…96ccbacked Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…1f7abacked Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…6c8abacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…261abacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 59c | 34.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 47c | 34.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…6dcabacked Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…9762backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Over | 53c | 24.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…692bbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c156backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Senators vs. Red WingsSenators won
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.