NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31937e6b5dc45ddb279ce02af3b0c9e7d0d6aad3ef92feae7167642455142c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,055,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,112,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,055,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 66c | 535,456$355,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355,178.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Capitals | 34c | 146,315$49,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,568.91 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Capitals | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,000 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 33c | 64,394$21,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,143.91 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 33c | 61,000$20,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,870 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 36c | 46,279$16,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,831.62 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 33c | 43,123$14,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,892.1 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Capitals | 34c | 40,000$13,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,403.78 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 34c | 39,484$13,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,086.89 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 65c | 34,709$22,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,495.78 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres | 65c | 26,957$17,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,649.9 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 34c | 23,546$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,626.01 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sabres | 65c | 18,424$12,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,059.92 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Sabres | 66c | 17,266$11,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,395.52 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 69c | 16,137$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,158.31 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Sabres | 67c | 14,930$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Capitals | 34c | 14,718$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,713.71 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 34c | 14,380$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,490.86 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 16c | 13,503$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.66 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 33c | 11,772$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.23 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.14 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 29c | 8,858$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272.33 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Capitals | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 35c | 7,646$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.22 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 34c | 7,384$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.38 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 34c | 7,275$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.61 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Sabres | 66c | 7,151$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.35 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 29c | 6,753$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Sabres | 67c | 6,412$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Sabres | 67c | 5,768$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 38c | 5,628$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 34c | 5,587$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.65 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 38c | 5,287$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Capitals | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Capitals | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.01 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 35c | 4,795$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 34c | 4,775$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.16 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Sabres | 65c | 4,597$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.86 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Sabres | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 38c | 4,418$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.14 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 42c | 4,192$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.9 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Capitals | 35c | 3,954$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…5fb6backed Sabres | 67c | 3,676$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 64c | 3,471$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.49 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Capitals | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 67c | 3,000$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.66 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 34c | 3,000$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.65 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 39c | 2,942$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.8 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Capitals | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Capitals | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 35c | 2,524$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.38 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 64c | 2,520$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.79 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Capitals | 34c | 2,433$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.91 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Capitals | 35c | 2,367$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.3 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sabres | 72c | 2,245$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.83 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Sabres | 67c | 2,222$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.52 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.73 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Capitals | 34c | 2,152$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Capitals | 34c | 2,118$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sabres | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Sabres | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.66 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres | 44c | 1,812$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.69 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Capitals | 35c | 1,764$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Sabres | 65c | 1,742$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.86 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Capitals | 35c | 1,736$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.89 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Sabres | 1c | 1,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Capitals | 34c | 1,661$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.93 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 33c | 1,585$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.02 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Capitals | 34c | 1,569$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sabres | 65c | 1,532$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.8 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Capitals | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Capitals | 34c | 1,500$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 67c | 1,434$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.42 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 34c | 1,317$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.64 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Capitals | 37c | 1,310$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.19 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…a2efbacked Sabres | 67c | 1,263$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 34c | 1,231$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.52 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Capitals | 35c | 1,116$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Sabres | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.49 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 66c | 1,095$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Capitals | 34c | 1,076$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.31 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Capitals | 33c | 1,023$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Sabres | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Sabres | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 33c | 979.23$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.08 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Sabres | 1c | 950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 37c | 946.61$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.33 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Capitals | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Sabres | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.57 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…3096backed Sabres | 67c | 858.76$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Capitals | 34c | 843.12$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.12 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Capitals | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Sabres | 61c | 767.88$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Capitals | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Sabresthis page
- Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.