Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f65b17de6ac49763d847f8c63bb564a1a00c73bd82a5955813689779fac0fc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,295,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,295,210 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 199,738$93,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,877.03 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 194,816$91,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,563.63 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 163,715$85,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,583.18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 113,002$59,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,111.1 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 108,290$50,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,721.73 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 80,294$42,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,738.09 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 72,805$34,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,734.79 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 49,880$23,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,852.2 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 49,749$26,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,382 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 41,750$22,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,225.81 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 40,723$21,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,139.77 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 32,407$16,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,555.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 31,683$16,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,890.87 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 24,750$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,374.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 24,322$11,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,661.87 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 16,017$7,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,668.46 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 15,806$7,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,534.96 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 15,100$7,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,304.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 15,005$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 12,704$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970.94 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 12,385$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 11,852$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.74 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 10,095$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 9,743$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.18 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 9,716$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.42 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 9,258$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.24 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 6,672$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…8d31backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 6,443$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 5,944$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.71 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 5,817$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.17 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 4,956$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.51 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 4,956$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 4,593$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.8 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 4,589$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.11 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 4,589$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 4,571$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.07 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 4,054$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.95 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 3,834$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.88 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 3,827$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.54 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 3,741$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 3,240$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.61 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 3,123$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.56 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 3,034$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.88 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 2,974$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.42 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,952$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.43 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,305$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.22 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 2,238$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.3 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 2,120$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.48 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 1,949$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 1,883$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 1,878$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,766$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.38 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 1,676$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.43 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 1,538$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,478$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.74 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 1,438$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.48 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,196$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.69 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,079$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.06 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.39 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.62 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.62 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…8232backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 991.28$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 991.25$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 977.65$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.58 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 935.65$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.55 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…e313backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 917.88$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 852.88$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 826.83$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 826.83$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 792.44$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 788.06$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 787.08$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.03 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Louisville Cardinals | 42c | 779.28$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 772.23$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 770.01$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 743.48$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 725.19$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…318bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 725.19$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 708.22$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 693.88$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 682$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 676.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 654.62$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.67 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 149.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-6.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-8.5)Louisville Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.