Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09193befc02ce0f75d67d1f35ad39d333f42e28bd0e72a4bb59152f81f906480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,565 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 49c | 43,958$21,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,332.39 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 31,654$15,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,997.55 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 27,101$13,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,522.79 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 51c | 24,402$12,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444.86 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 52c | 23,084$11,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,960.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 49c | 18,054$8,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,846.45 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 12,977$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,562.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 8,578$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 51c | 7,541$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.08 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 5,452$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.94 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 51c | 3,932$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.31 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 3,759$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 51c | 2,802$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 2,674$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.23 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 2,577$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.63 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 2,497$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.88 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 2,440$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.78 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,068$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Over | 39c | 2,026$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Over | 49c | 1,974$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,640$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.26 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Over | 46c | 1,586$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Under | 53c | 1,575$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 1,507$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 1,490$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.17 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,379$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 1,361$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under | 52c | 1,306$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.88 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 49c | 1,302$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.14 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.57 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.57 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 1,173$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 49c | 1,119$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.87 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 52c | 1,099$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.52 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…1953backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 37c | 991.84$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Over | 48c | 989.94$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 48c | 989.94$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 49c | 985.93$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 981.23$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 48c | 841$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 835.76$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under | 50c | 830.32$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.16 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 37c | 775.94$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 756.78$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.25 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 711.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 51c | 668.55$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 655.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Over | 46c | 591.81$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…29bfbacked Under | 49c | 566.42$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Over | 49c | 527.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.36 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 49c | 495.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 42c | 458.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…218abacked Over | 49c | 458.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Over | 49c | 458.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Over | 44c | 450.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 449.04$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Under | 79c | 425.24$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 50c | 417.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Over | 49c | 385.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 49c | 385.03$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 50c | 367.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 49c | 330.09$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 39c | 325.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 46c | 323.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 44c | 315.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 51c | 311.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 50c | 304.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 298.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…9cd6backed Under | 50c | 297.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 294.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 50c | 294.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 293.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 289.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 35c | 261.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under | 51c | 258.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 256.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 254.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 49c | 252.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 50c | 246.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 49c | 243.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…2f8bbacked Over | 50c | 213.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…1543backed Under | 51c | 211.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 209.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…e246backed Under | 50c | 207.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Under | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 199.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 50c | 198.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 149.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-6.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-8.5)Louisville Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.