Movies · resolved market
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1ff0c445a235907c621999321ffaf840734710683fdbc4d8dede0bfcfed3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 2c | 39,030$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…3a49backed Yes | 1c | 29,009$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed Yes | 2c | 24,508$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.33 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…09dbbacked Yes | 1c | 19,250$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 4c | 18,219$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…8804backed Yes | 1c | 15,885$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 13,975$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…1113backed Yes | 1c | 10,634$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 21c | 8,888$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.36 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…caa6backed Yes | 5c | 8,181$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…1da1backed Yes | 1c | 4,861$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…e7d0backed Yes | 2c | 4,261$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…708cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,256$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,562$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…3331backed Yes | 1c | 3,356$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed Yes | 0c | 2,906$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes | 4c | 2,756$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,737$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…4fa9backed Yes | 1c | 2,611$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,483$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,127$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…7a35backed Yes | 2c | 2,025$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…1046backed Yes | 1c | 1,842$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,791$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 1,698$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 1,545$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,511$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,479$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 1,478$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…aa38backed Yes | 3c | 1,390$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…7869backed Yes | 3c | 1,315$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 3c | 1,159$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f2…1d96backed Yes | 3c | 1,153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 1,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…c146backed Yes | 1c | 1,051$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…8357backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…00c2backed Yes | 5c | 973.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 6c | 861.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…2329backed Yes | 7c | 841.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e8…a97dbacked Yes | 2c | 811.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…8496backed Yes | 10c | 808.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…1b58backed Yes | 3c | 674.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…ee9fbacked Yes | 8c | 671.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…3d2cbacked Yes | 2c | 668$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked Yes | 4c | 472.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…d9b0backed Yes | 7c | 450.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…f305backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…c93ebacked Yes | 23c | 431.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…3ac1backed Yes | 2c | 402$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…6427backed Yes | 8c | 396.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…8db6backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…ae40backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca60…40c9backed Yes | 7c | 328.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…a086backed Yes | 8c | 323.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 304.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…52dbbacked Yes | 10c | 302.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…ffd2backed No | 69c | 286.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…0a2bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…8facbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Yes | 8c | 262.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…c00ebacked Yes | 5c | 256.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…9c94backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe894…fe58backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…2ef4backed Yes | 7c | 224.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…958ebacked Yes | 8c | 223.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…7d76backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…6929backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…fbf2backed Yes | 9c | 179.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…4e28backed Yes | 7c | 179.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 172.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…6266backed Yes | 7c | 172.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…d544backed Yes | 6c | 170.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b05…a5c3backed Yes | 7c | 168.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…b131backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…9e3ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4be…2424backed No | 47c | 113.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…63ffbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8565backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 15c | 76.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…a390backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…19f1backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…9eb7backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.