NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe09d4d174d9a8c4c8d67d90264a48569157db6c0a51d5583463912b841cdbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Senators, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $748,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,999.97 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 49c | 153,709$75,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,298.5 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 49c | 102,454$50,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,202.43 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 53c | 52,458$27,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,900.98 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Oilers | 51c | 28,538$14,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,983.66 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Senators | 46c | 23,000$10,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,579.8 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Senators | 50c | 19,724$9,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,778.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 46c | 13,000$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.96 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oilers | 52c | 12,915$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.28 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 72c | 12,756$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.46 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.79 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 50c | 11,554$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.97 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 47c | 10,986$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.41 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 59c | 10,941$6,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.97 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Senators | 47c | 10,191$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 52c | 10,112$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Oilers | 53c | 9,999$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.62 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Oilers | 51c | 9,888$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 52c | 9,761$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 47c | 9,495$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.63 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 47c | 9,277$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.35 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 66c | 8,377$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.86 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 29c | 8,226$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Senators | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.96 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers | 50c | 8,102$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Oilers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Senators | 46c | 5,610$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.58 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fab…13e0backed Senators | 77c | 5,333$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 51c | 5,010$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.8 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oilers | 51c | 4,981$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.22 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Oilers | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Senators | 46c | 4,640$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.63 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Oilers | 53c | 4,401$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.06 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Oilers | 54c | 4,206$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.11 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 51c | 4,028$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.12 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 49c | 4,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Oilers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.98 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…cd24backed Oilers | 56c | 3,900$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2443…9024backed Senators | 44c | 3,900$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Oilers | 50c | 3,500$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 48c | 3,130$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 63c | 3,114$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.01 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Senators | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…4d42backed Oilers | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…a1b9backed Senators | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 53c | 2,800$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.97 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Oilers | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 49c | 2,480$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.23 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 51c | 2,475$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oilers | 33c | 2,404$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.7 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Senators | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 55c | 2,333$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.17 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oilers | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Senators | 57c | 2,047$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.02 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers | 52c | 2,000$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.35 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers | 53c | 2,000$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.68 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers | 55c | 1,886$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.52 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 65c | 1,875$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.89 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Oilers | 24c | 1,720$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.62 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oilers | 50c | 1,717$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.62 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 38c | 1,689$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.85 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 51c | 1,681$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.63 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Oilers | 16c | 1,620$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.73 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Senators | 11c | 1,594$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 51c | 1,576$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.62 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 46c | 1,515$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.1 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Oilers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Senators | 66c | 1,476$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.98 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Oilers | 27c | 1,431$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.29 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Oilers | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.78 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Senators | 63c | 1,400$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.37 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Oilers | 19c | 1,314$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.58 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oilers | 53c | 1,273$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.22 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Senators | 45c | 1,090$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.49 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Oilers | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.63 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Oilers | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Senators | 51c | 1,023$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.44 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Oilers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Senators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Senators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 53c | 999.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.97 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Oilers | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 37c | 934.2$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.66 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oilers | 50c | 916.47$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Senators | 75c | 884.47$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Oilers | 52c | 878.6$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.52 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Senators | 71c | 872.59$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.81 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Oilersthis page
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.