NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570070e67585000a77c3c2b06abfdb7f79ba0a23f6c38f76f963a05f136a9749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 54c | 5,900$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 53c | 4,314$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.71 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 47c | 3,936$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.07 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 56c | 2,798$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.4 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Under | 46c | 2,598$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 44c | 1,920$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,765$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 1,323$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.55 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 1,143$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.85 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 55c | 1,123$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.24 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 47c | 1,119$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 934$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.64 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 904.94$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 45c | 891.59$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 802.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 46c | 801$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.46 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 46c | 794.11$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.29 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 702$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Under | 47c | 694.75$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 54c | 608.77$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 493.79$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 493$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 53c | 473.27$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 465.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 57c | 460$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 46c | 324.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 57c | 294$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 228.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 183.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…fc1abacked Under | 27c | 146.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 139.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 56c | 102.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 54c | 102.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 44c | 80.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 44c | 78.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 46c | 53.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 51.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 61c | 49.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 55c | 40.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed Under | 46c | 35.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Under | 48c | 31.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 47c | 28.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 24.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 55c | 23.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. OilersOilers won
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.