TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,683 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over44c83,000$36,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,479.818743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c47,623$26,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,640.372,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under56c10,844$6,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,072.3945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under56c8,902$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee4…fc35backed Under56c8,405$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over45c7,778$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c5,783$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under55c5,033$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c4,823$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.5826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over44c4,604$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.043033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c4,232$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.1933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under55c4,000$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.963243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.937560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c3,619$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.2598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under63c3,540$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Over43c2,850$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+305.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.913351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c2,001$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.033119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c1,825$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over47c1,816$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.743158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over53c1,508$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.762544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over45c1,288$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.44575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over43c1,176$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.92842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over45c1,142$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.8821650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under30c1,059$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.693724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c1,024$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.7140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under55c999.93$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.966142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under56c930.34$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.476357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…016dbacked Under49c816.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Under56c773.43$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked Under57c703.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.678757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+195.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under55c599.91$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.957558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Over78c555.55$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4211772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under12c466$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.13714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under56c442.01$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over44c437.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.119937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under56c427.72$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.448752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under56c358$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.483438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.339154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c321.11$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under56c299.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Under57c299.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under47c295.23$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.762846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over43c290.7$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.73754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c280.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd788…16d3backed Over45c273.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Under19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.418744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae6f…041ebacked Under56c256.37$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed Under56c251$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under16c250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c249.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c249.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9942347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c249.68$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3738547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Over45c244.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+137.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under56c238.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3949…626dbacked Over45c232.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29dc…24e6backed Over45c231.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c224$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under56c223.59$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1650%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under56c222.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.984753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over45c222.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.152161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c219.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1046…7041backed Under56c207.69$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over44c205.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Under37c205.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+61.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11011127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11011161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under56c195.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.499750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under56c192.57$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.842536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2038…b0e7backed Under56c176.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under56c171.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under56c169.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9819542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under56c165.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.91618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5da5…59aebacked Over43c165$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…b1dbbacked Over45c163$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…b31cbacked Over43c154$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e5…4466backed Under56c153.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over30c145$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.