TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,020 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Over73c41,276$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,275.552263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under27c9,612$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c7,456$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c5,314$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.9833148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c5,237$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.4998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under28c4,872$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.3296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8104040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c2,445$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.353119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over72c2,085$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.84575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under27c1,360$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under2c1,054$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under28c1,024$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over77c584.42$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4211268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over71c420.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.877464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…a63ebacked Under10c388.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under29c348.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under29c337.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under13c307$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8128556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0711161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over63c287$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.193724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over69c276.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7042347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under27c230$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.116851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over72c228$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.049353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c223.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2131051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under27c220$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.274872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over71c208.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under13c178.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x522a…7c6abacked Under29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Under30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over71c166.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c162.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…8974backed Under15c140.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c135$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c1…7d39backed Under30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.63551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d86…16acbacked Under30c112$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd39…600cbacked Over72c101$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Under33c95.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under38c86.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over71c70.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.78158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under29c69.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…fe20backed Over71c59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over70c57.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Over71c50.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e1…a313backed Over71c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over64c44.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over69c43.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3841854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1321251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a00…56c6backed Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.213164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…4622backed Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172387%20 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.177262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.784963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.