Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f92a2cee47a1af5a8b9a4a7a1da82918fa889ead95a236d9596a20acbdd20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,020 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Over | 73c | 41,276$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,275.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 9,612$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.3 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 7,456$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 28c | 5,314$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.98 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 5,237$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 4,872$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.32 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 2,445$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 72c | 2,085$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.8 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 1,360$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 2c | 1,054$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 28c | 1,024$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 584.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 71c | 420.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked Under | 10c | 388.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 29c | 348.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 29c | 337.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Under | 13c | 307$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 63c | 287$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 276.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 72c | 228$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 223.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…e16abacked Over | 71c | 208.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 13c | 178.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…7c6abacked Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 71c | 166.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 70c | 162.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…8974backed Under | 15c | 140.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c1…7d39backed Under | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…16acbacked Under | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…600cbacked Over | 72c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 33c | 95.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Under | 38c | 86.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 71c | 70.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 29c | 69.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…fe20backed Over | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 70c | 57.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…a313backed Over | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 64c | 44.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 69c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.