Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44452c280cb419957847ded0b294e61de7c8b2eaa4b273d22d8a0be40c4afafa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,463 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 20c | 2,800$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 78c | 2,688$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 22c | 1,931$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.75 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 19c | 1,051$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 12c | 1,016$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 22c | 406.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 305.18$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 78c | 269.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 27c | 189$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 184.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Over | 15c | 162.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 22c | 136.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 28c | 135.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 16c | 113.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 26c | 98.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 89.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…ca7cbacked Under | 75c | 79.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Under | 76c | 74.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 24c | 65.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 80c | 54.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 24c | 53.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Over | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 79c | 34.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 73c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.