TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Torino FCof SSC Napoli, Torino FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,663 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked SSC Napoli35c65,070$22,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,773.958743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Torino FC65c45,391$29,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,886.689350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Torino FC62c9,792$6,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Torino FC65c4,910$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.6233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Torino FC65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.997560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed SSC Napoli35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Torino FC65c2,350$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.576357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Torino FC65c2,155$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed SSC Napoli74c2,092$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.8816838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cc…021dbacked SSC Napoli51c1,836$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Torino FC65c1,731$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.1998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Torino FC54c1,430$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Torino FC65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Torino FC65c1,200$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.997558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed SSC Napoli35c1,190$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.4496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed SSC Napoli35c1,114$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.93948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked SSC Napoli36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed SSC Napoli35c715.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.352528%7 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked Torino FC66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880c…f5e2backed SSC Napoli35c530.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Torino FC66c523.46$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.988752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46c…5d5fbacked SSC Napoli35c456.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked SSC Napoli48c435.29$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.663724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed SSC Napoli52c431.75$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0568…0bcbbacked SSC Napoli35c368.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked SSC Napoli44c332.35$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf3…5d0fbacked SSC Napoli34c307.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed SSC Napoli34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked SSC Napoli36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc73…a9d2backed SSC Napoli38c252.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Torino FC64c239.56$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Torino FC65c229.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.643476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Torino FC67c204.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.431650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbc…d333backed Torino FC66c183.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed SSC Napoli37c177.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5823353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93d8…028cbacked Torino FC66c174.5$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef89…37f2backed Torino FC66c155.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Torino FC65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.253438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed SSC Napoli35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2135…9e8fbacked SSC Napoli35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Torino FC67c142.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8614553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Torino FC65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed SSC Napoli34c137.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd895…de0cbacked Torino FC67c130.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Torino FC65c128.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666a…6065backed Torino FC66c125.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed SSC Napoli44c113.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked SSC Napoli44c111.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Torino FC67c110.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…0799backed Torino FC66c106.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Torino FC65c104.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.692536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f82…bc1bbacked Torino FC67c103.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torino FC55c101.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Torino FC65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3515259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed SSC Napoli34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Torino FC66c94.36$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed SSC Napoli36c83.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf028…c587backed Torino FC66c78.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.633100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Torino FC65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9233144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Torino FC66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Torino FC66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Torino FC66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ad7…dc0cbacked Torino FC67c73.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed SSC Napoli45c69.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.726349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Torino FC16c68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked Torino FC66c66.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed SSC Napoli38c65.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7841854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed SSC Napoli35c64.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Torino FC61c63.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.648158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Torino FC63c61.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4231051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7512…68dfbacked Torino FC66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Torino FC66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.612576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed SSC Napoli35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87c4…f978backed SSC Napoli35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed SSC Napoli36c55.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed SSC Napoli36c55.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Torino FC66c50.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed SSC Napoli36c50.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Torino FC67c50.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c31…ac98backed Torino FC66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Torino FC65c48.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed SSC Napoli35c45.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9819542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c6…2de4backed Torino FC66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Torino FC66c45.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.433756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Torino FC67c45.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9810353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed Torino FC65c44.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615c…6f13backed SSC Napoli46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Torino FC65c43.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.085354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed SSC Napoli35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked SSC Napoli35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed SSC Napoli37c40.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8515…8490backed SSC Napoli39c40.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Torino FC65c40.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Torino FC30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.964151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked SSC Napoli35c39.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked SSC Napoli35c39.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.843638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed SSC Napoli43c36.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.771450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1826…13f7backed SSC Napoli36c35.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Torino FC65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Torino FC58c34.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.444047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.