TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7512…68df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.93
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+155%+$59.31
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$42.21
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+614.3%+$97.36
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$35.97
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.71
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$26.52
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.6
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.5
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54.78
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.93
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.2
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.73
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+230.4%+$115.2
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.95
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$11.19
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+266.2%+$87.1
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63%+$45.13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+156.6%+$58.35
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+89.7%+$60.48
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+63%+$18.1
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+39.4%+$17.17
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.75
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.59
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Charrados FC (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked Charrados FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.21
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$4.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$67.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+96.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WPL: Delhi Capitals Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenbacked Mumbai Indians Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Qualifier 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+293.3%+$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$24.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.31
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+232.6%+$36.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+147%+$68.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.