TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No4c7,743$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c7,555$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.85679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes48c7,158$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Yes25c6,022$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,516.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+126.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes69c4,259$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.431848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes67c3,373$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.0453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf60…a4d8backed No33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes77c1,829$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…f7bcbacked Yes69c1,651$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x650a…e30fbacked Yes31c1,348$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No31c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3403145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes75c930.66$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4610731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No30c907.42$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.459853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb200…8163backed Yes28c707$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.043100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+249.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed No32c654.68$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No33c550.59$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed No34c496.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a1d…8a73backed Yes28c480.74$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.432035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No39c469.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.487439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No28c419.08$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6436826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab52…293bbacked No33c396.75$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd59…0a77backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No59c324.77$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8441540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe069…3c17backed No18c310$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d66…d07bbacked Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ad…dda9backed Yes69c290.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No17c281.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.859045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes9c215.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.543023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b52…2c1fbacked No32c205$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x132b…2070backed No32c203$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…3b46backed No32c199$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…d9e8backed No32c196$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa4…fee9backed No32c188$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61d…9670backed No32c187$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…c465backed No32c186$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc98…dfb7backed No32c179$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x826d…e11dbacked No32c176$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4894…edfebacked No32c176$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa989…3154backed No32c170$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes73c168.95$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.636832.4%22 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d4…f7cfbacked Yes69c150.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1653…24b0backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes28c143.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.626167.2%41 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a1…379abacked No21c142$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.271637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes73c141.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a0…9f1cbacked No32c139$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…1fc8backed Yes69c131.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes74c125.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5626830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf96f…668dbacked Yes31c121.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3894…3f26backed No33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes67c119.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.589136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c01…ef45backed Yes68c117.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…a61cbacked No30c104.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3270%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No57c104.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.224751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes74c100.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.874843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914d…77fabacked Yes69c98.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed No33c97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.011118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-73.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61c0…d398backed No21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ad…c7d4backed Yes68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e81…cdc8backed Yes68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ac…656fbacked Yes68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes57c92.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3612050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…3f32backed Yes68c92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069e…bcfebacked Yes68c91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf1…43a3backed Yes68c91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f4e…e46bbacked Yes68c91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0424…cba8backed No33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa014…3bb8backed Yes68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…e589backed Yes68c89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea96…32e0backed Yes68c89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…7ef0backed Yes68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…ea7abacked Yes68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863d…4722backed Yes68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…72dabacked Yes68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3eb…0dfcbacked Yes68c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8e…ea86backed Yes68c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…f4c0backed Yes68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ad…7531backed Yes68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x717b…0a2ebacked Yes68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…9d68backed Yes68c83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…3632backed Yes68c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be3…9f67backed Yes68c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba2…c674backed Yes68c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3925…8f18backed Yes68c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8b…6a25backed Yes28c81.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed No32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ce…6758backed Yes76c73.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1b…7377backed Yes69c70.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes28c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No20c66.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No63c64.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.962454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb54c…8affbacked No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No67c54.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8113430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No60c54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.226949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes69c53.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.632263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1419…6e6bbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+126.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes66c53.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.068164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.