TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xade5…0113backed Yes17c14,951$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes31c13,169$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.3553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c6,785$5,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,196$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.735679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes27c4,662$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.861060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf60…a4d8backed Yes33c4,450$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked No67c4,303$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c4,259$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.6431848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes31c2,189$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.884531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes28c1,527$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.869853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Yes30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd94a…2728backed Yes5c1,340$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023c…f346backed Yes21c1,158$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f5…3723backed Yes18c1,153$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…594bbacked Yes31c1,115$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes6c1,072$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.268213.4%11 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2aa…0b4ebacked Yes33c1,015$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes30c1,001$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.341540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed No67c999.99$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32826650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a3…de25backed Yes34c882.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No74c845$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.942152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed No68c792.39$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes7c763.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.353237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8871…a806backed Yes12c759.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc03a…885fbacked Yes32c575$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83bc…7db4backed Yes34c532.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed No78c510.43$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ec…b544backed Yes17c452.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a8…814abacked Yes5c424.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c375.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6736826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d88…005fbacked Yes21c361.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…af79backed Yes32c359.32$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes6c336.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.221444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes31c331.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7410731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No68c323.04$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8326830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x322c…a28abacked Yes33c306.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No78c295.67$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.064843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…fc9cbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a41…dd0ebacked Yes13c276.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d29…47a9backed Yes7c260.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No71c250.54$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7852828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c244.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.077910.1%8 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ce…6758backed Yes34c221.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92da…5b8dbacked Yes16c213.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a1…379abacked Yes23c209.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes19c204.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.49520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3270%0 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…2737backed Yes33c182.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd478…0921backed Yes23c177.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff26…b20dbacked No68c173.04$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.833743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No72c136.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No76c136.16$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.099045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed Yes32c130.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+56.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3eae…d0c2backed Yes31c124.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes10c114.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-87.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes29c91.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes18c85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9513430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No68c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes32c77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No73c70.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No69c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbab…4776backed Yes32c62.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c26…3133backed Yes33c61.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5497…1b2fbacked Yes33c60.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd5…7ea5backed Yes31c50.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c01…ef45backed Yes32c49.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2121…51d9backed Yes32c46.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1426…8dfdbacked Yes33c44.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No69c43.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.543246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes32c42.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a2…b6f3backed Yes32c39.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Yes32c38.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e14…c0f6backed Yes31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked No69c31.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-81.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c26.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1823244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fc…57cabacked No68c25.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed No69c21.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.782263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0416…ea40backed No68c20.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked No68c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3612100%12 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed No73c17.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No68c15.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.774148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac5…5216backed No68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.