TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Karmine Corp (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp Blue, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp Blue13c5,814$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.521,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Karmine Corp79c5,207$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.566560%39 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp Blue18c4,349$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.251,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Karmine Corp Blue1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Karmine Corp Blue21c3,811$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.3521740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Karmine Corp Blue0c3,716$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b87…75d0backed Karmine Corp Blue11c3,404$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.128951.7%46 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Karmine Corp Blue18c3,195$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4769041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp Blue15c3,076$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.681,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Karmine Corp Blue12c2,604$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9646033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Karmine Corp Blue11c2,469$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6315545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Karmine Corp Blue14c2,040$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.569420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Karmine Corp Blue19c2,000$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.546153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp79c1,928$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.761,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Karmine Corp Blue13c1,900$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24544751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Karmine Corp80c1,788$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.24955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Karmine Corp Blue11c1,764$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5925952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Karmine Corp Blue10c1,705$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7541644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Karmine Corp Blue12c1,611$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.312060%12 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+62.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Karmine Corp Blue6c1,600$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9345618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Karmine Corp Blue19c1,584$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8850643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Karmine Corp Blue13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp Blue14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Karmine Corp Blue1c1,477$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4615551.6%80 W · 75 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f80…e222backed Karmine Corp Blue8c1,462$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.438433.3%28 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Karmine Corp Blue12c1,407$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6629927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Karmine Corp Blue14c1,385$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.984041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4991…d4dcbacked Karmine Corp Blue17c1,315$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.553112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+331.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Karmine Corp Blue12c1,307$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0210933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp Blue12c1,212$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4475342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Karmine Corp Blue11c999.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Karmine Corp Blue17c965.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5331644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Karmine Corp Blue16c877.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1221857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Karmine Corp Blue12c861.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8818741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Karmine Corp Blue14c853.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11816034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Karmine Corp Blue12c823.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8292450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Karmine Corp Blue19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.996738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed Karmine Corp Blue14c722$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012948.8%63 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Karmine Corp Blue12c704.53$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5441133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Karmine Corp Blue19c649.73$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9674344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp Blue13c636$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Karmine Corp Blue12c599.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7227535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp Blue12c599.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Karmine Corp Blue14c506.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Karmine Corp Blue12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf935…104ebacked Karmine Corp Blue13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp Blue19c445.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.532,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…3f66backed Karmine Corp Blue12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee33…9a55backed Karmine Corp Blue5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Karmine Corp80c376.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.581,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Karmine Corp Blue14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015536.8%57 W · 98 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Karmine Corp Blue13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Karmine Corp Blue13c298.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0221735.9%78 W · 139 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Karmine Corp Blue15c252$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7822636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Karmine Corp Blue48c235.28$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5239750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Karmine Corp Blue21c231.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.618910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp Blue12c205.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.431,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x525c…771cbacked Karmine Corp Blue12c199.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Karmine Corp Blue7c183$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8156317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Karmine Corp Blue12c170$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Karmine Corp Blue12c167.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8816828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Karmine Corp44c163.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.778331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Karmine Corp Blue7c155.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37450%37 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Karmine Corp Blue13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4645…0d4cbacked Karmine Corp Blue13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Karmine Corp Blue12c139.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked Karmine Corp Blue18c137.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539747.9%190 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77aa…5e60backed Karmine Corp Blue12c130.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Karmine Corp Blue12c120.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4644128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Karmine Corp Blue17c116.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7512…68dfbacked Karmine Corp Blue12c100.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.021850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Karmine Corp Blue19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked Karmine Corp Blue13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323023%53 W · 177 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc7a…90c6backed Karmine Corp Blue14c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Karmine Corp Blue17c59.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d80…a151backed Karmine Corp Blue20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp77c45.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4366947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Karmine Corp80c40.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.151,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.