Earnings · resolved market
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa85bcd9519f35a65fc4ff2a543d9bfda90930fc1b33d4d24dd62172f8565e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 21c | 927.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fa03backed No | 33c | 394.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 27c | 368$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 65c | 335.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…d850backed Yes | 74c | 269.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 10c | 200.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 177.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 76c | 140.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…4653backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…60c5backed Yes | 73c | 124.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 27c | 117.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1e…f060backed No | 27c | 109.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…c0d4backed No | 39c | 98.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 95.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…db04backed Yes | 73c | 79.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 25c | 64.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…33b3backed No | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…6863backed Yes | 73c | 53.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 59c | 51.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…3098backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0884backed No | 26c | 39.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 47c | 39.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ab…d202backed Yes | 75c | 35.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 79c | 35.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…313fbacked Yes | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…bd63backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049c…a244backed Yes | 72c | 32.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 74c | 30.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…ea0cbacked Yes | 53c | 29.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…fc9dbacked No | 48c | 29.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…ee17backed Yes | 72c | 29.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…e9edbacked Yes | 72c | 28.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 47c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…1d3cbacked Yes | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…760cbacked Yes | 76c | 21.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…faccbacked Yes | 51c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…0900backed Yes | 76c | 20.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 70c | 18.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 73c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.