TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,067,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$857,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes26c281,980$74,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,042.9947738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No73c260,904$190,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,553.047554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes27c133,871$36,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,145.0530043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ec…f78dbacked No73c66,960$48,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,079.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdc…cc11backed Yes27c66,960$18,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,079.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0462…cddebacked Yes27c50,965$13,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,850.8760%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf844…624ebacked Yes27c36,302$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No72c34,050$24,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,655.342450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e2…5029backed Yes27c30,594$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes2c20,686$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.151822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.9983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes2c13,061$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.81520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No71c12,838$9,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.1316226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Yes28c12,532$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Yes26c9,241$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.715154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5465…5133backed No72c8,150$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Yes1c7,940$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes27c7,424$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.371421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes5c7,240$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ef…4e3cbacked No73c6,070$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed No72c5,897$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.0617647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes2c5,346$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5311837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes20c5,112$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.122142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes27c4,960$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.21080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes14c4,676$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.749853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a9…5b1dbacked Yes29c3,723$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c3,582$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes27c3,350$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.6554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes6c3,119$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.57667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes13c2,873$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.393023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Yes26c2,440$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.999253.3%49 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01de…a912backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ec…b544backed Yes1c1,875$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No73c1,820$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd94e…7d02backed Yes27c1,632$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes29c1,595$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes12c1,522$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.482924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes8c1,517$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8924352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3879…489fbacked Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes28c1,446$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…3812backed Yes29c1,405$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes27c1,367$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713542.9%15 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes27c1,335$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.373046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…c866backed Yes27c1,240$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No73c1,238$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ce…97a7backed Yes27c1,236$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8d2cbacked Yes27c1,126$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6c…428ebacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b08…2f0fbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1e…0a48backed Yes3c1,048$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75a…8e0fbacked Yes7c1,014$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes5c1,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.433122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804047.5%19 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+59.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.583333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f60…bbccbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020949.8%104 W · 105 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ca…2a84backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked No73c965.47$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Yes27c929.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes19c917.23$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5511946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes26c838.46$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No77c828.21$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0922349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5070…6c47backed Yes27c800$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d66…d07bbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc0…12e6backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…eea1backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d6…8d67backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes26c705$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.743923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83bc…7db4backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51b…35dcbacked Yes27c683.5$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.411822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Yes26c660.96$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.575343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76db…11dcbacked Yes27c568.89$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf274…1ed7backed Yes27c559.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes20c550.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.758535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47b4…abbabacked Yes8c547.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54af…6f94backed Yes27c539.81$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Yes27c535.48$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d33…ddbcbacked Yes27c528.89$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…2224backed Yes8c508.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f0…bdd3backed Yes13c501.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6670%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x757a…70f6backed Yes26c500$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698a…fe0dbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+44.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356346%29 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick12cpaid+94.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes11c480.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.691444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Yes27c465$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.