TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes1c68,571$638 inLost-$637.7847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c24,653$101 inLost-$101.05650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes1c21,796$114 inLost-$113.71723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x065c…7891backed Yes1c20,182$142 inLost-$142.23229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost-$1009754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6799…6410backed Yes0c19,940$90 inLost-$89.7680%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes0c19,748$70 inLost-$69.692931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes3c19,734$687 inLost-$687.35812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ef…4e3cbacked Yes1c18,207$92 inLost-$91.871833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes1c18,191$145 inLost-$145.178164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes0c16,096$72 inLost-$71.713732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c12,000$13 inLost-$13667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c9,462$30 inLost-$29.5714926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c7,663$43 inLost-$42.8674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce2…7034backed Yes1c7,336$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe257…90f7backed Yes1c6,252$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c6,160$25 inLost-$24.645679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes0c5,555$22 inLost-$22.2216226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c5,000$25 inLost-$2521227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes1c4,896$27 inLost-$26.842924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8b…57cdbacked Yes1c4,718$28 inLost-$27.651118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1904…f03abacked Yes1c4,618$40 inLost-$40120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes1c4,000$35 inLost-$35.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes0c3,893$16 inLost-$15.5790%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1c…9f78backed Yes1c3,635$24 inLost-$24.4660%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c3,609$52 inLost-$52.163122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost-$214311.6%5 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes1c2,500$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c2,256$42 inLost-$42.3168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…2224backed Yes1c2,247$15 inLost-$151225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2f…24c1backed Yes1c2,231$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…8798backed Yes1c2,222$20 inLost-$2090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0d…45bfbacked Yes1c2,000$18 inLost-$18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6993…c79abacked Yes1c1,994$11 inLost-$10.5480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes1c1,423$13 inLost-$13.091020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…35dcbacked Yes1c1,403$12 inLost-$12.491822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dbe…b813backed Yes1c1,356$12 inLost-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Yes1c1,306$10 inLost-$108130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe012…27a6backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost-$10.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…3f5bbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes1c900$12 inLost-$11.99922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…74dbbacked Yes2c827.52$17 inLost-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3a…b9c6backed Yes5c642.92$30 inLost-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.