TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$469,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,058 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes0c52,450$259 inLost-$259.44812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c44,632$110 inLost-$109.6314926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes0c37,604$62 inLost-$61.791723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc27…a7ffbacked Yes1c29,127$200 inLost-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c22,572$37 inLost-$36.99650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes0c20,010$76 inLost-$75.5410537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes1c16,651$100 inLost-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7918…b683backed Yes0c16,363$82 inLost-$81.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3014…dcddbacked Yes1c16,182$140 inLost-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c15,659$48 inLost-$47.6421227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes0c12,645$44 inLost-$43.713548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c10,928$35 inLost-$34.51611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8c…d63dbacked Yes1c10,376$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes0c10,000$50 inLost-$49.87939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes0c8,856$37 inLost-$36.57110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes0c8,349$28 inLost-$28.3890%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac6…9e2fbacked Yes1c6,289$40 inLost-$402653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes0c6,000$18 inLost-$18425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b08…2f0fbacked Yes1c6,000$40 inLost-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8b…57cdbacked Yes0c6,000$28 inLost-$281118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,256$26 inLost-$26.335679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe693…53bfbacked Yes1c5,190$26 inLost-$25.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e08…33cabacked Yes1c5,190$26 inLost-$25.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes0c4,346$21 inLost-$20.792924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes1c4,198$25 inLost-$24.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef6…e65cbacked Yes1c4,000$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes0c4,000$12 inLost-$1222349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ef…4e3cbacked Yes0c3,810$11 inLost-$11.431833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes0c3,571$14 inLost-$13.99674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes1c3,333$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes1c3,279$18 inLost-$17.8347738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$102842.9%12 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes1c2,103$12 inLost-$123732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes1c1,710$10 inLost-$10.2618629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1904…f03abacked Yes1c1,372$10 inLost-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x322c…a28abacked Yes1c1,055$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.