TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44fd…b634backed Yes1c69,924$899 inLost-$899.0860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c33,963$453 inLost-$453.4183147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes2c25,000$450 inLost-$449.857939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c23,336$256 inLost-$255.6816226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes5c18,905$887 inLost-$887.1647738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes1c14,368$171 inLost-$171.359754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes1c11,767$165 inLost-$164.746451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes2c11,299$200 inLost-$20018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ef…4e3cbacked Yes2c10,260$162 inLost-$162.081833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c9,156$17 inLost-$16.6621227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c7,316$80 inLost-$80.25674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c6,234$24 inLost-$23.59650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes1c5,646$41 inLost-$40.821020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes1c5,000$65 inLost-$652040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes2c3,000$50 inLost-$50.344311.6%5 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes1c2,500$30 inLost-$301723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes1c2,245$28 inLost-$28.462924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322c…a28abacked Yes2c2,188$40 inLost-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes1c1,981$26 inLost-$25.623732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Yes1c1,900$27 inLost-$26.56149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc1…4bcdbacked Yes2c1,579$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…8798backed Yes2c1,401$25 inLost-$2590%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,344$13 inLost-$13.235679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…2224backed Yes2c1,258$20 inLost-$201225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75f…1806backed Yes2c1,087$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8b…57cdbacked Yes2c1,010$16 inLost-$15.811118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d61…fba4backed Yes2c827.71$15 inLost-$14.721020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes1c769.99$10 inLost-$10.0122349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c9…e67ebacked Yes2c741.44$13 inLost-$12.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed No34c50$17 inWon+$331080%8 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.53per pick27cpaid+192.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No74c20$15 inWon+$5.135850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.