TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c45,000$45 inLost-$4514926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes0c33,150$53 inLost-$53.159754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes3c29,957$996 inLost-$995.918435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c20,530$30 inLost-$30.29650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c13,461$38 inLost-$38.03611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f62…4123backed Yes1c10,000$52 inLost-$51.64119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-85.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost-$20110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c9,641$128 inLost-$128.433122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes7c9,175$597 inLost-$597.463548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes2c9,138$165 inLost-$164.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…b57fbacked Yes1c8,259$87 inLost-$87.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes0c6,917$14 inLost-$141020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes2c6,000$123 inLost-$12350%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes0c5,500$23 inLost-$23.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Yes1c4,590$25 inLost-$252548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes1c4,463$51 inLost-$50.6411837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf218…abf4backed Yes0c4,335$16 inLost-$15.930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c3,624$34 inLost-$34.4674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75f…1806backed Yes0c3,300$13 inLost-$131136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c2,616$81 inLost-$80.5664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15fb…38fabacked Yes0c2,040$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ec…b544backed Yes5c1,331$62 inLost-$62714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Yes5c1,064$50 inLost-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$106346%29 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43e…f6f2backed Yes3c800$27 inLost-$26.83520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4f…d122backed Yes2c626.88$10 inLost-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x451e…d518backed Yes2c607.78$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c606.81$13 inLost-$13.491444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes9c600$56 inLost-$56.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d16…8595backed Yes2c509.51$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes8c369.09$30 inLost-$303141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes6c345$20 inLost-$19.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Yes15c129.86$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.