NFL · resolved market
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4045f42f6440574c2df51a0091eab8c7aca7358ee5f83190bdee1a8e1e7ebc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 206,304$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.66 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 16,654$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 16,191$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Yes | 2c | 15,363$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 14,390$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 13,874$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3014…dcddbacked Yes | 2c | 13,024$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 9,621$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 7,244$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 2c | 6,652$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 2c | 5,760$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 2c | 5,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…4e3cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,699$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 0c | 4,450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…9e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,311$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Yes | 2c | 4,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…633bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,398$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…2f0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,716$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,689$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,289$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…0207backed Yes | 3c | 1,926$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,720$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 1,683$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…7891backed Yes | 2c | 1,611$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,559$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4482…5d4bbacked Yes | 1c | 971.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +252.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…f03abacked Yes | 2c | 837.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 2c | 836.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…ea78backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322c…a28abacked Yes | 2c | 660$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d4ecbacked Yes | 2c | 626.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 2c | 458$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Yes | 2c | 409.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…57cdbacked Yes | 2c | 408.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…52b3backed Yes | 6c | 326.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…b6e2backed Yes | 9c | 137.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?this page
- Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Andres Borregales win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Byron Murphy win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Hunter Henry win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jake Bobo win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes won
- Will Leonard Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Mack Hollins win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Milton Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
- Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.