NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1d41ef2a7aa1bb0e1f57621f6e1fe4cb0f1d9587595fec18d8a616092a8079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 777 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 49c | 199,999$97,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,499.49 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 50c | 108,015$54,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,557.29 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres | 50c | 88,373$44,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,186.32 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Penguins | 50c | 58,895$29,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,429.44 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 52c | 37,219$19,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,036.25 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sabres | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Sabres | 51c | 14,280$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sabres | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 50c | 10,556$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.82 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 48c | 10,174$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.39 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Sabres | 51c | 9,999$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.53 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.96 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 51c | 9,565$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.84 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 52c | 8,524$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.52 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 49c | 7,990$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Penguins | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Sabres | 50c | 6,684$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…75eebacked Sabres | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…5defbacked Penguins | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 51c | 5,822$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.69 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Penguins | 51c | 5,798$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sabres | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.55 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Penguins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 50c | 3,777$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.5 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.15 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penguins | 7c | 3,240$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Penguins | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 51c | 3,068$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.02 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sabres | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 51c | 2,800$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.25 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 50c | 2,707$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.38 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Penguins | 48c | 2,634$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.38 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9ec1backed Penguins | 49c | 2,559$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 48c | 2,537$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sabres | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.98 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Penguins | 48c | 2,131$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.11 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…63bcbacked Sabres | 52c | 2,121$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sabres | 51c | 2,039$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.2 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Sabres | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sabres | 50c | 1,982$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.13 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…1c3bbacked Penguins | 49c | 1,952$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccd…a4cbbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,952$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,942$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 52c | 1,918$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.64 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 50c | 1,915$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.51 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Penguins | 51c | 1,702$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.16 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…9534backed Sabres | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f0…6ea4backed Sabres | 53c | 1,609$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Penguins | 50c | 1,547$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.8 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 50c | 1,502$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.02 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 49c | 1,492$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.4 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Penguins | 51c | 1,463$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 56c | 1,435$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.8 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Penguins | 51c | 1,417$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 68c | 1,415$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.35 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,353$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…41e1backed Penguins | 2c | 1,350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…8270backed Penguins | 48c | 1,323$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sabres | 51c | 1,274$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.77 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 43c | 1,262$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.24 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…5905backed Sabres | 51c | 1,249$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Sabres | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Sabres | 51c | 1,071$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.87 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Penguins | 49c | 1,047$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 4c | 1,045$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7a…c97fbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…7b22backed Penguins | 48c | 1,004$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Penguins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Penguins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Sabres | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sabres | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…bb69backed Sabres | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…bc83backed Penguins | 48c | 972$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 40c | 968.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sabres | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…3128backed Penguins | 50c | 960$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…104fbacked Penguins | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…bbc0backed Sabres | 51c | 930$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…130fbacked Sabres | 52c | 925$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 51c | 870.43$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 47c | 847.62$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…72c0backed Sabres | 52c | 840.4$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…4b96backed Penguins | 49c | 818$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…0adabacked Penguins | 49c | 780$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…33c7backed Penguins | 49c | 758.31$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…4d85backed Penguins | 49c | 758$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Penguinsthis page
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.